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Rapid Assessment for Resilient Recovery and ... - GFDRR

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PEA is experiencing similar losses. Be<strong>for</strong>e flooding, PEA had expected to sell about<br />

102,367 GWh of energy to its consumers in 2011. Due to flooding, this target has been<br />

revised down to 101,436 GWh. The target <strong>for</strong> 2012 has also been revised <strong>and</strong> scaled<br />

down from 115,236 GWh to 113,238 GWh. Revenue loss to PEA is estimated to be about<br />

THB 2.3 billion <strong>for</strong> 2011 <strong>and</strong> 2012, until its supply system is restored <strong>and</strong> business returns<br />

to pre-flooding conditions.<br />

Figure 15 shows PEA‘s actual energy sales in 2010 <strong>and</strong> nine months in 2011 plus the<br />

sales <strong>for</strong>ecast <strong>for</strong> Q4 of 2011, <strong>for</strong> both be<strong>for</strong>e flooding <strong>and</strong> after-flooding scenarios.<br />

MEA is also experiencing similar losses. Since its network was not severely damaged, the<br />

disruption to energy supply was very brief. MEA expects no loss of energy sales in 2012.<br />

For 2011, MEA’s loss of energy sales is estimated to be about 418.94 GWh only, equivalent<br />

to THB 232.19 million. During the floods, MEA used energy to pump water to protect<br />

the Bangkok metropolitan area, to the cost of about THB 10.68 million.<br />

Total losses to distribution business are estimated at about THB 2.5 billion (Table 41).<br />

Damage <strong>and</strong> loss totals by province are shown in Table 42<br />

Table 41: Losses to<br />

distribution businesses in<br />

Thai Baht, millions<br />

Losses by Organization<br />

MEA’s Losses<br />

PEA’s Losses<br />

TOTAL<br />

Losses<br />

242.88<br />

2,288.54<br />

2,531.42<br />

Table 42: Electricity<br />

sector – Damage <strong>and</strong><br />

losses by province in<br />

Province<br />

Ang Thong<br />

Damage<br />

5.51<br />

Losses<br />

3.02<br />

Total<br />

8.53<br />

Thai baht, millions<br />

Ayuthaya<br />

2,803.64<br />

3,359.97<br />

6,163.61<br />

Bangkok<br />

2.80<br />

2,262.43<br />

2,265.23<br />

Chai Nat<br />

1.04<br />

0.65<br />

1.69<br />

Lop Buri<br />

4.78<br />

2.73<br />

7.51<br />

Nakhon Nayok<br />

1.11<br />

0.54<br />

1.65<br />

Nakhon Pathom<br />

1.03<br />

0.56<br />

1.59<br />

Nakhon Sawan<br />

11.27<br />

6.24<br />

17.51<br />

Nonthaburi<br />

2.63<br />

72.86<br />

75.48<br />

Pathum Thani<br />

310.79<br />

4.06<br />

314.85<br />

Phitsanulok<br />

0.31<br />

0.21<br />

0.51<br />

Phichit<br />

0.28<br />

0.20<br />

0.47<br />

Prachinburi<br />

0.72<br />

0.45<br />

1.17<br />

Samut Sakhon<br />

0.29<br />

0.16<br />

0.45<br />

Saraburi<br />

37.76<br />

0.17<br />

37.94<br />

Singburi<br />

0.30<br />

0.19<br />

0.49<br />

Suphan Buri<br />

1.31<br />

1.07<br />

2.38<br />

Uthai Thani<br />

0.19<br />

0.13<br />

0.32<br />

TOTAL<br />

3,185.76<br />

5,715.63<br />

8,901.39<br />

Note: Only 18 provinces out of 26 in the assessment area reported damage <strong>and</strong> interrupted power supply<br />

THAI FLOOD 2011 RAPID ASSESSMENT FOR RESILIENT RECOVERY AND RECONSTRUCTION PLANNING<br />

123

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