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PE EIE[R-Rg RESEARCH ON - HJ Andrews Experimental Forest

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LINEAR<br />

Y~(T)<br />

2nd ORDER<br />

Y2 (T)<br />

3rd ORDER<br />

Y 3 (T)<br />

INPUT<br />

X (T)<br />

OUTPUT<br />

Y (T )<br />

}<br />

nth ORDER<br />

Yi (T )<br />

Figure 10 . Illustration of nonlinear system representation by Volterra Series.<br />

the memory, an exact match could be made<br />

to each of the input values . However, n o<br />

economy in the description would have bee n<br />

affected . Instead, fewer polynomials can b e<br />

used. This introduces an error, but due to th e<br />

nature of the operation, it will be the leas t<br />

error possible .<br />

Methods using the above procedure hav e<br />

been introduced by Jacobi (1966), Harder<br />

and Zand (1969), and Brandstetter an d<br />

Amorocho (1970) . It is this method which is<br />

being considered for use in this study . There<br />

are certain distinct advantages associated with<br />

the process . The method is quite general and<br />

can handle a variety of problems such as runoff,<br />

chemical quality of runoff waters, and<br />

suspended sediment predictions, when inpu t<br />

values are properly weighted by functions<br />

describing the physical processes involved in<br />

each case. Once the response functions or<br />

kernels of the system are evaluated, they may<br />

be used for predictions given any sequence o f<br />

inputs. It requires a minimum amount of<br />

data, possibly 1 to 2 years of good records .<br />

Systems can be used in cascade, lik e<br />

predict predict<br />

precip.-runoff quality or sediment<br />

It can be used for quantitative evaluations o f<br />

the changes created by any type of watershe d<br />

management procedure by evaluating th e<br />

kernels of the original and the manage d<br />

hydrologic system. Emphasis will be given to<br />

establishing weighted functions for the bes t<br />

description of the physical process, and o n<br />

deriving tools for the greatest economizatio n<br />

of the procedure .<br />

67

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