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January 2012 - Sandwell & West Birmingham Hospitals

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SWBTB (1/12) 286 (a)<br />

It could be argued given the potential for more accurate catchment loss modelling, the need<br />

for further detailed work on the impact on staffing levels and the size of the differential<br />

between scenarios that the analysis of potential impact on income and expenditure at this<br />

stage does not give grounds for excluding any of the short listed options from consultation.<br />

Table 8: Summary of Impact on Income and Expenditure<br />

Income/Expenditure Item<br />

No catchment<br />

loss<br />

25%<br />

catchment loss<br />

if Acute<br />

Stroke<br />

Services based<br />

at <strong>Sandwell</strong><br />

Hospital<br />

50 %<br />

catchment loss<br />

if Acute<br />

Stroke<br />

Services based<br />

at <strong>Sandwell</strong><br />

Hospital<br />

25%<br />

catchment loss<br />

if Acute<br />

Stroke<br />

Services based<br />

at City<br />

Hospital<br />

50 %<br />

catchment loss<br />

if Acute<br />

Stroke<br />

Services based<br />

at City<br />

Hospital<br />

£000s £000s £000s £000s £000s<br />

Income:<br />

Patient Related SLAs 0 (579) (1,159) (486) (973)<br />

Total Income 0 (579) (1,159) (486) (973)<br />

Expenditure<br />

Pay – Nursing (280) (17) (17)<br />

Pay - Medical staffing<br />

Total Expenditure (280) (17) 0 (17) 0<br />

Costs Saved:<br />

Pay - Nursing 246 246<br />

Pay - Medical Staffing<br />

Total Costs Saved 0 0 246 0 246<br />

Net Income/(Cost) of Proposal (280) (596) (913) (503) (727)<br />

Assumptions:<br />

The reduction in A&E att income has been based on data from WMAS<br />

The reduction in NEL income has been calculated using 80% achievement of the Best Practice Tariff<br />

The reduction in excess bed day income has been calculated using an average trimpoint of 51 days<br />

9. RISK ASSESSMENT AND MANAGEMENT<br />

The following risks have been identified and mitigated in the project risk log.<br />

9.1 Strategic Risks<br />

The reforms of the NHS and the change in organisations does present a significant challenge<br />

particularly in terms of approval process through PCTs and SHA.<br />

22

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