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010<br />
UNIT 1: WHERE DO WE STAND? THE STATE OF THE GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT<br />
Numbers of motor vehicles<br />
millions<br />
700<br />
6.4<br />
If current rates<br />
of expansion<br />
continue, there<br />
will be more than<br />
1,000 million<br />
vehicles on the<br />
road by 2025<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
2.3<br />
184.7<br />
5.5<br />
208.6<br />
32.3<br />
223.2<br />
44.2<br />
256.5<br />
West Asia<br />
North America<br />
Latin America<br />
and the<br />
Caribbean<br />
Europe and<br />
Central Asia<br />
200<br />
17.4<br />
191.0<br />
Asia and the<br />
Pacific<br />
100<br />
0<br />
129.1<br />
52.3<br />
93.2<br />
5.3<br />
11.1<br />
1980 1990 1996<br />
127.3<br />
18.6<br />
Africa<br />
Source: compiled by UNEP GRID Geneva from International Road Federation/<br />
Published in Global Environment Outlook 2000, UNEP<br />
The areas that<br />
are most at risk<br />
from climate<br />
change – small<br />
islands, coastal<br />
zones, flatlands<br />
and wetlands –<br />
are primary<br />
tourist<br />
attractions.<br />
2<br />
Data Source: Worldwide Fund<br />
for Nature (WWF)<br />
The tourism and hospitality industries are important motivators of travel and<br />
transport and significant users of energy. Both transport and energy directly<br />
involve the burning of fossil fuels and the emission of greenhouse gases. Tourism<br />
is therefore an indirect, but significant, contributor to global warming and climate<br />
change.<br />
The areas that are most at risk from climate change – small islands, coastal<br />
zones, flatlands and wetlands – are primary tourist attractions. The industry would<br />
suffer heavy losses if these areas were destroyed. A shift in climate zones and<br />
subsequent changes to flora and fauna could mean that many countries would<br />
lose their key tourist sites. Increased floods and storms would destroy basic<br />
infrastructure, and the resulting epidemics will reduce tourist arrivals to such<br />
areas. Consider the following examples 2 .<br />
• More frequent periods of extreme heat are causing discomfort in many<br />
eastern Mediterranean resorts, where the number of days above 40°C<br />
has increased;<br />
• A decline in cloud cover in Australia will increase exposure to the sun’s<br />
harmful rays;<br />
• Malaria is likely to re-emerge in Spain;<br />
• Cruise ships no longer visit islands where dengue fever is present; this<br />
is threatening the Caribbean’s 12-billion-dollar, half-million-employee<br />
tourism industry;<br />
• Skiing destinations, which are recording less snowfall and shorter<br />
skiing seasons;<br />
• Hurricane George brought losses of US$ 2 million to the Caribbean<br />
tourism in 1998, and arrivals to Peru, Equador and Bolivia fell by 45%<br />
following flood damage from Hurricane Mitch the same year;<br />
• The 1991 cholera epidemic cost Peru over one billion dollars in lost<br />
seafood exports and tourism;<br />
• Coral bleaching, fading of the reef’s rich colours, has until now been<br />
triggered by the rise of local seawater temperature over a critical<br />
threshold. Since 1997, there have been six excessively warm periods,<br />
which caused mass coral bleaching the world over. The most damage<br />
was caused in 1998, the hottest year of the century;<br />
S<br />
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