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Preventing Childhood Obesity - Evidence Policy and Practice.pdf

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Monitoring of childhood obesity<br />

Nooyens et al recently showed that older people do<br />

have lower mean BMI compared to middle - aged<br />

people but, when followed prospectively, also, older<br />

people gain weight. 17 This example is taken from data<br />

in adults but clearly, age - period - cohort effects are also<br />

present in children <strong>and</strong> adolescents.<br />

There are many methodological pitfalls to consider<br />

in the interpretation of secular trends in overweight<br />

<strong>and</strong> obesity, as well as risk factors <strong>and</strong> disease incidence.<br />

The associations between these trends usually<br />

depend on the strengths of the association between<br />

obesity <strong>and</strong> a particular disease, <strong>and</strong> the time lag<br />

between the onset of obesity <strong>and</strong> the incidence of<br />

disease. For instance, the rise in the prevalence of type<br />

2 diabetes is usually related to an increase in the prevalence<br />

of obesity because of the strength of the association<br />

between the two. 18 Time trends in obesity, on the<br />

other h<strong>and</strong>, may not be related to trends in the incidence<br />

of cardiovascular disease 19,20 or cancer. 21 This is<br />

because of the relatively low risk associated with<br />

obesity, the importance of many other risk factors for<br />

these diseases that may be unrelated to changes in<br />

obesity <strong>and</strong> the long lag - time between obesity <strong>and</strong> the<br />

incidence of cardiovascular disease endpoints <strong>and</strong> different<br />

types of cancer. This means, for instance, that<br />

there is a decreasing secular trend observed in cardiovascular<br />

risk factors <strong>and</strong> the incidence of cardiovascular<br />

disease when at the same time there is an increase<br />

in the prevalence of obesity. 19,20 This is despite the fact<br />

that, on an individual basis, there is a significant association<br />

between measures of overweight such as BMI<br />

<strong>and</strong> cardiovascular risk. 19,20<br />

As population characteristics change over time,<br />

these changes may have an influence on relative risk<br />

estimates of obesity for diseases, such as cancer, for<br />

other exposures because of effect - measure modification.<br />

The impact of population changes on comparability<br />

between epidemiologic studies can be kept to a<br />

minimum if investigators assess obesity - disease associations<br />

within strata of other exposures, <strong>and</strong> present<br />

results in a manner that allows comparisons across<br />

studies. Effect - measure modification is an important<br />

component of data analysis that is needed to obtain a<br />

complete underst<strong>and</strong>ing of disease etiology. 22<br />

Monitoring determinants <strong>and</strong> consequences of<br />

obesity can, therefore, lead to interesting hypotheses<br />

about potential explanations of associations but<br />

are usually weak in their level of evidence for causal<br />

relationships. These methodological problems also<br />

hamper the evaluation of effectiveness of policy interventions<br />

on obesity <strong>and</strong> health.<br />

Screening — m easuring c hildren for<br />

o besity c ase finding<br />

When heights <strong>and</strong> weights are routinely monitored,<br />

there is will be individuals who meet the criteria for<br />

overweight or obesity. If the data are subsequently<br />

reported to the children <strong>and</strong>/or their parents, or are<br />

followed by referral to interventions, this would bring<br />

monitoring into the realms of screening. In essence, it<br />

would be screening for individuals who may benefit<br />

from interventions aimed at weight gain prevention<br />

or weight management, even though the primary<br />

purpose of the measurement may have been for monitoring<br />

population trends<br />

Following the original criteria for screening by<br />

Wilson <strong>and</strong> Jungner 23 <strong>and</strong> published by WHO in<br />

1968, there have been more extensive lists of criteria<br />

for the viability, effectiveness <strong>and</strong> appropriateness of<br />

a screening programme (see below) (Table 21.1 ).<br />

Screening for obesity in different medical settings<br />

has been evaluated. Wilson <strong>and</strong> McAlpine have<br />

reviewed this for primary care. 25 Whitlock et al 26 <strong>and</strong><br />

Westwood et al 27 have reviewed the usefulness of<br />

screening in children. In all three reviews it is argued<br />

that screening is compromised by the fact that there<br />

is little generalizable evidence for the effectiveness of<br />

primary care interventions in unselected patients.<br />

Although there is not much scientific literature on<br />

this, there are indications that the consequences of<br />

routinely assessed weight <strong>and</strong> height in individuals in<br />

surveys may lead to differences in participation rates.<br />

If it is known in advance that routinely measured<br />

weights <strong>and</strong> heights measured at children in school are<br />

followed by a referral to an intervention requiring the<br />

participation of parents <strong>and</strong> children this may lead to<br />

a lower likelihood that parents of children who are<br />

overweight or obese <strong>and</strong> who are not interested in an<br />

intervention will give their permission for their child<br />

to be measured.<br />

There are ethical questions surrounding the feedback<br />

of information obtained by screening. The issue<br />

is whether or not parents or (in the case of adolescents)<br />

the children themselves have a right to access<br />

the measurements taken <strong>and</strong> their interpretation. In<br />

The UK National Child Measurement Programme<br />

179

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