MEGATRENDS AND MEDIA

MEGATRENDS AND MEDIA
5 The Progressing World Society Order and Its Constituent
Systems
Arguably, the world society order is the emergent new order that has
replaced the international society order or the twentieth century order,
because the latter was destroyed when its last system (the bipolar
system) collapsed in 1991. It witnesses the transformation towards the
new order that is now in progress.
As of now, the initial system of this new world society order may be
understood as unilateral-multipolar (uni-multipolar) system. At this
level of progression of the new order, within this order’s initial system,
the remaining sole super power dominates the process of decision
making about global issues. Thus most actors will show resentment to
this behavior and rather tilt to a multilateral-multipolar arrangement,
which allows them to participate in the process of real decision making.
Given the average life span of an international system, which is
estimated to be at an average around 40 years, 48 a new period of system
transformation for the 21 st century may be projected to begin in the early
2040s and last about 10 years. It’s likely that the emerging next system
would be an initial at least four-polar version global political system, in a
series of open multilateral-multipolar systems of the progressing World
Society order. This sub-part of the present work will attempt to discuss
the emerging system, as well as, its principal actors and their possible
relationships.
6 Behavior of Major Actors within the Progressing
New Order
As many have argued, there is a vivid tendency of dominating the new
order by major actor. To dominate the new order, for example, the
U.S. seems to be adapting newly proposed international norms, such
as, “the law of humanitarian intervention in civil conlict”, to its own
particular advantage. The cases of Chechnya in Russia, and Tibet and
Xinjiang in China, provide explanations, why Russia and China oppose
this new U.S. inclination to adapt norms of intervention on the basis
48 On this see ROSKIN, M. et al.: The New Word of International Relations, New
Jersey : Prentice Hall, 2004.
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