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S5.1 B: Dinámicas de retorno y remigración de los migrantes<br />

latinoamericanos en Europa<br />

Hora: Miércoles, 29/06/2016: 17:15 - 19:15 · Lugar: FACULTAD DE GEOGRAFÍA E HISTORIA. AULA 35<br />

Presidente de la sesión: Amparo González Ferrer, CSIC<br />

Presidente de la sesión: Marcela Cerrutti, Centro de Estudios de Población<br />

The New Era of Mexico-U.S. migration: The post 2006 Experience and the Collapse of<br />

Undocumented Migration<br />

René Martín Zenteno Quintero<br />

University of Texas at San Antonio, Estados Unidos; rene.zenteno@utsa.edu<br />

Ten years ago Mexico-U.S. migration entered a new era. In 2006 the number of migrants coming north started<br />

to decline as the construction industry went into a swoon. A few years later net migration hit the zero point. An<br />

enforcement campaign that produced more than 2 million removals also contributed, as did conditions in<br />

Mexico. The result is a decade of reduced northbound flows, reduced circularity, and an increase of return<br />

migration to Mexico. The work of understanding the causes let alone the effects has just begun. This paper<br />

develops a composite picture of this distinctive new chapter using multiple sources of available information in<br />

combination with unpublished data from the Border Survey of Mexican Migrants. It also reviews findings from<br />

prior studies that have examined the causes of this transformation as well as its impacts in both countries.<br />

Finally, we identify key issues and highlight future research directions.<br />

The changing nature of return migration to Mexico, 1990-2010: Implications for labor market<br />

incorporation and development<br />

Emilio Alberto Parrado, Edith Gutierrez<br />

University of Pennsylvania, Estados Unidos; eparrado@sas.upenn.edu<br />

In this paper we investigate changes in the labor market incorporation of return migrants from the United States<br />

to Mexico between 1990 and 2010. We argue that changing period conditions, particularly the 2007 economic<br />

recession and enhanced immigration enforcement policies, have altered both the volume and nature of return<br />

flows affecting the migration-development connection. We show that the less-voluntary nature of return<br />

migration in the early 21st century has resulted in higher employment propensities, lower entrepreneurial<br />

activities, and deteriorated wages among return migrants. However, it is important to consider the growing<br />

heterogeneity of the return migrant flow; the negative labor market outcomes are largely confined to wage<br />

earners, while the smaller flow of entrepreneurial returnees continues to experience positive employment and<br />

earnings profiles. We derive implications for employment conditions in Mexico and for the literature connecting<br />

migration to development in sending areas.<br />

461<br />

Who’s in, who’s out? Return Migration in Times of Crisis<br />

Anda David, Ramon Mahia, Rafael De Arce<br />

Universidad Autonoma de Madrid, España; ramon.mahia@uam.es<br />

In this article we address the issue of return intentions and their realization in a context of crisis. Using a novel<br />

survey on both current and return migrants in Spain and Ecuador, we capture the role played by the recent<br />

economic crisis in shaping the intentions and perception of the return. The specific context of Ecuadorian<br />

migration to Spain, sharp increase in the stock followed by a slowdown and a significant drop in just 15 years,<br />

allows a quasi-experimental analysis of migration dynamics of a single generation of immigrants. We stress the<br />

role played by family factors and legal status not only in the return decision-making process but also in the<br />

return intentions expressed by current migrants. Using a binary choice model, we show that the migrants who<br />

returned were less affected by the economic crisis.<br />

¿Iguales en distintos lugares? El acceso al empleo de los uruguayos retornados y emigrados en<br />

España<br />

Victoria Prieto Rosas<br />

Universidad de la República, Uruguay; vicprieto@gmail.com<br />

Este artículo analiza la incidencia de los contextos de acogida en el acceso al empleo de emigrados y<br />

retornados uruguayos. Se discute si la aparente ventaja del retorno, desde un contexto de alto desempleo a<br />

uno con pleno empleo, se distribuye de forma homogénea según sexo, educación y duración de la migración.<br />

La coincidencia cronológica de los censos de población de ambos países permite estimar la probabilidad de<br />

empleo mediante la inclusión del país de residencia como control y término de interacción con características<br />

individuales en la estimación de modelos logísticos binomiales y multinomiales. Estos últimos se estiman solo<br />

para los ocupados y atienden a la probabilidad de estar ocupado en empleos de cualificación baja, media y<br />

alta. Los resultados muestran que para las mujeres la condición de retornada no reporta las mismas ventajas<br />

que para los varones y esta desventaja se corrobora en los tres tipos de ocupación analizados.<br />

PROGRAMA<br />

PROGRAMA OFICIAL DEL VIII CONGRESO DEL CONSEJO EUROPEO DE INVESTIGACIONES SOBRE AMÉRICA LATINA (CEISAL)<br />

UNIVERSIDAD DE SALAMANCA, JUNIO-JULIO DE 2016

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