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Report - Agence canadienne d'évaluation environnementale

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Assessing the risks related to the project<br />

Accident scenarios in the seaway and their consequences<br />

The proponent assessed potential consequences of accident scenarios involving the<br />

collision or grounding of an LNG tanker by taking into account the nature of the<br />

accident which would result in a relatively large breach the LNG tanks aboard.<br />

According to his calculations, risk levels would not change much when considering<br />

larger ships like the Qflex type. The decreased rate of visits with larger-capacity<br />

model would even be a positive factor as it would decrease the frequency of potential<br />

accidents. According to the proponent, the increase in consequence extent was also<br />

relatively small in view of the fact that the increase in LNG tanker size is due to their<br />

larger width and the higher number of tanks, rather than due to an increase in the<br />

height of their tanks. According to him, the tank height factor is the main parameter to<br />

consider when calculating consequences accidents for different breach sizes<br />

(DQ27.61).<br />

Table 7 shows the main results obtained by the proponent for the various accident<br />

scenarios retained, for both types of LNG tankers.<br />

During the assessment process to establish the admissibility of the project’s impact<br />

study, the MDDEP also compared the proponent’s results with those of the Sandia<br />

study, and concluded that the scenarios used by the proponent were comparable to<br />

those used in the Sandia study (Ms. Marie-Claude Théberge, DT4, p. 80).<br />

The point of this exercise for the Panel (the size of the breaches retained, as well as<br />

their consequences) was to establish the required security and emergency measures.<br />

To the extent that the distances of the consequences of thermal radiation, and to the<br />

dispersion of a natural gas cloud are comparable, then they would result in<br />

comparable security and emergency measures.<br />

136 Rabaska Project – Implementation of an LNG Terminal and Related Infrastructure

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