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Report - Agence canadienne d'évaluation environnementale

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The accident scenarios considered and their consequences<br />

Assessing the risks related to the project<br />

Among the main aspects which governed the route’s development, the proponent<br />

mentioned the intention to avoid as much as possible the high-density population<br />

areas. He detailed the consequences of three possible pipeline accident scenarios,<br />

i.e. the complete rupture of the buried line, a medium leak in the buried line, and the<br />

complete rupture of a line aboveground. Table 11 and Figure 11 detail these<br />

outcomes. Considering the population’s density in certain places along the pipeline’s<br />

retained route, the Panel included the potential consequences associated with<br />

thermal radiation thresholds that are greater than 5 kW/m 2 in its analysis.<br />

Table 11 Consequences of the pipeline’s three accident scenarios<br />

Accident<br />

scenarios<br />

Complete<br />

rupture of the<br />

buried line<br />

Medium leak<br />

of the buried<br />

line<br />

Complete<br />

rupture of a<br />

line<br />

aboveground<br />

Distance to<br />

the 5-kW/m 2<br />

thermal<br />

radiation<br />

threshold<br />

Distance to the 12.5kW/m<br />

2 thermal<br />

radiation threshold<br />

Distance to the<br />

37.5 1 -kW/m 2<br />

thermal radiation<br />

threshold<br />

730 m 522 m 356 m<br />

22 m 11 m A few metres<br />

510 m 430 m 367 m<br />

Distance to the<br />

lower<br />

flammability<br />

limit<br />

141 m<br />

(127 m<br />

aboveground)<br />

8 m<br />

(3 m<br />

aboveground)<br />

353 m<br />

(30 m<br />

aboveground)<br />

1. Threshold value for structural damage to buildings and equipment caused by thermal radiation exposure and<br />

used as a criterion to locate them.<br />

Sources: adapted from PR5.3.2, p. 7 and Appendix H, p. 39 and 40.<br />

The sensitive elements of the host environment<br />

According to the proposed route, several sensitive elements could be inside various<br />

impact areas corresponding to thermal radiation thresholds of 37.5, 12.5 and<br />

5 kW/m 2 , depending on their position with respect to various project pipeline<br />

segments. Table 12 summarizes them.<br />

In light of the summary of sensitive elements identified, the Panel noted the presence<br />

of a campground that could be located in the 5-kW/m 2 impact area should the pipeline<br />

rupture. In answer to a question from the Panel, the proponent also provided an<br />

analysis of sensitive elements in the 1.6-kW/m 2 thermal radiation impact area, which<br />

represents a 1,070-m radius from both sides of the proposed pipeline’s right-of-way.<br />

Rabaska Project – Implementation of an LNG Terminal and Related Infrastructure 155

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