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y about 30-50% in the BT-1 and BT-2 experiments. The effect on BT-9 and BT-15 was virtually negligible because of the much lower exposures experienced in those experiments. Uncertainties in estimates of unit risk arise from uncertainties mentioned earlier about the accuracy of the model used to determine metabolized exposure. Departures from the present fit of the Michaelis-Menten model could cause calculations of risk to lose accuracy. Cumulative effects or different metabolism, for example, may cause the true risk to differ from that predicted. Nevertheless, uncertain as it is, the metabolic model appears much more likely to provide a more accurate measure of risk than does ambient exposure. Final cancer unit risk calculation Cancer risk estimates for VC derived from human and animal data provided the range of 95% UCLs on cancer unit risk for humans: from 2.5 × 10 -5 to 2 × 10 -4 ppb -1 . Because many of the tumors associated with vinyl chloride exposure (particularly LAS) exhibit a long latency period, exposure at an early age would produce a greater risk. The average latency period for the development of LAS in one study of occupationally exposed vinyl chloride workers was determined to be 22.1 years (Stafford, 1983). Drew et al. (1983) demonstrated that in rats, mice and hamsters, the highest incidence of neoplasms was observed when vinyl chloride exposure was started early in life. Exposures early in life may produce up to a 10-fold greater incidence in tumors compared to exposures late in life. Because of these considerations, CDHS decided that the best estimate of unit risk coincided with the top of the range, which was, when rounded, 2 × 10 -4 ppb -1 , or 7.8 × 10 -5 (µg/m 3 ) -1 . This is approximately the value obtained from the more recent Maltoni et al. experiments, with lower exposure concentrations than the previous experiments. That result is at the top of the range of six experiments that provided clear dose response relationships for liver cancer. The selected top of the range, 2 × 10 -4 ppb -l is also equal to the Drew et al. result for lung carcinoma in mice. That result is one of the lowest for mice. The other, higher results for mice are not explicitly reported in the present risk analysis because of scattering of points in each case not providing a clear exposure-response trend. The results for hamsters, not reported quantitatively for the same reason, were close to those for the rats. This approach was considered to provide adequately health protective estimates of human unit risks, which represent the 95% upper confidence limits for risk calculations. V. REFERENCES Barnes AW. 1976. Vinyl chloride and the production of PVC. Proc R Soc Med 69:277-281. Beaumont JJ and Breslow NE. 1981. Power considerations in epidemiologic studies of vinyl chloride workers. Am J Epidemiol 114:725-734. 563
Bertazzi PA, Villa A, Foa V, Saia B, Fabbri L, Mapp C, Mercer C, Manno M, Marchi M, Mariani F and Bottasso F. 1979. An epidemiological study of vinyl chloride exposed workers in Italy. Arg Hig Rada Toksikol 30 (Suppl):403-409. Bi WF, Wang YS, Huang MY and Meng DS. 1985. Effect of vinyl chloride on testis in rats. Ecotoxicol Environ Saf 10:281-289. Buffler PA, Wood S, Eifler C, Suarez L and Kilian DJ. 1979. Mortality experience of workers in a vinyl chloride monomer production plant. J Occup Med 21:195-203. Byren D, Engholm G, Englund A and Westerholm P. 1976. Mortality and cancer morbidity in a group of Swedish VCM and PCV production workers. Environ Health Perspect 17:167-170. California Department of Health Services (CDHS) 1990. Health Effects of Airborne Vinyl Chloride. Air Toxicology and Epidemiology Section, Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment Branch, Berkeley, CA. Caputo A, Viola PL and Bigotti A. 1974. Oncogenicity of vinyl chloride at low concentrations in rats and rabbits. Int Res Comm 2:1582. Cooper WC. 1981. Epidemiologic study of vinyl chloride workers: mortality through December 31, 1972. Environ Health Perspect 41:101-106. Creech JL Jr and Johnson MN. 1974. Angiosarcoma of liver in the manufacture of polyvinyl chloride. J Occup Med 16:150-151. Drew RT, Boorman GA, Haseman JK, McConnell EE, Busey WM and Moore JA. 1983. The effect of age and exposure duration on cancer induction by a known carcinogen in rats, mice, and hamsters. Toxicol Appl Pharmacol 68:120-130. Duck BW, Carter JT and Coombes EJ. 1975. Mortality study of workers in a polyvinyl-chloride production plant. Lancet 2:1197-1199. Equitable Environmental Health IE. 1978. Epidemiological study of vinyl chloride workers. Prepared for the Manufacturing Chemists Association. Feron VJ, Hendriksen CF, Speek AJ, Til HP and Spit BJ. 1981. Lifespan oral toxicity study of vinyl chloride in rats. Food Chem Toxicol 19:317-333. Fox AJ and Collier PF. 1977. Mortality experience of workers exposed to vinyl chloride monomer in the manufacture of polyvinyl chloride in Great Britain. Br J Ind Med 34:1-10. Gehring PJ, Watanabe PG and Park CN. 1978. Resolution of dose-response toxicity data for chemicals requiring metabolic activation: example--vinyl chloride. Toxicol Appl Pharmacol 44:581-591. 564
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Air Toxics Hot Spots Program Risk A
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Prepared by: John D. Budroe, Ph.D.
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This document is one of five docume
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TABLE OF CONTENTS PREFACE i INTRODU
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N-Nitrosodimethylamine 401 N-Nitros
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Hot Spots Unit Risk and Cancer Pote
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Additional ATES and PETS documents
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data. If several data sets (dose an
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US EPA Calculation of Carcinogenic
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exposure to a concentration of 1 µ
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incidences for each of the dose lev
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computes the surface area of a sphe
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Comparison of Hot Spots Cancer Unit
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Gold, L., de Veciana, M., Backman,
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Animal Studies Rats Woutersen et al
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ased on sufficient evidence of carc
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ACETAMIDE CAS No: 60-35-5 I. PHYSIC
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Methodology Expedited Proposition 6
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cancer mortality. However, US EPA (
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Table 2. Lung adenoma incidence in
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Table 3 (continued). Acrylamide-ind
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Robinson M, Bull RJ, Knutsen GL, Sh
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Also, a trend was observed correlat
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eported. Cause-specific expected de
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Bio/Dynamics Inc. conducted a study
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examination. Interim sacrifices wer
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Table 8. Tumor incidence in male an
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Gaffey WR and Strauss ME. 1981. A m
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(technical grade; 98% pure) by gava
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International Agency for Research o
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still alive in the low-dose control
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ANILINE CAS No: 62-53-3 I. PHYSICAL
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fibrosarcomas, stromal sarcomas, ca
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ARSENIC (INORGANIC) CAS No: 7440-38
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elationship between arsenic exposur
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al. (1988) did not induce lung tumo
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A risk assessment was also conducte
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Chen C, Chuang Y, You S, Lin T and
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Schrauzer G, White D, McGinness J,
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Table 1: Summary of epidemiologic s
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had at least one animal demonstrati
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mesothelioma, recommended lifetime
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National Institute for Occupational
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BENZENE CAS No: 71-43-2 I. PHYSICAL
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Animal Studies Available experiment
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Table 3: Summary of NTP bioassay re
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Table 4: Summary of benzene low-dos
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Maltoni C, Conti B and Cotti G. 198
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a benign tumor of the kidney. No ba
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al. (1968) found no tumors in lifet
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following relationship, where C(t 1
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Miakawa M. and Yoshida O. 1975. Pro
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human population and that BPDE-DNA
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demonstrated the tumor initiating a
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Table 4: Bronchoalveolar tumors fro
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Table 5: IARC groupings of PAHs, mi
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Table 6 (continued): IARC Group 3 P
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Potency Equivalency Factors (PEF) f
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This was rounded to a PEF of 0.1. 1
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experiment (Takayama et al., 1985)
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Deutsch-Wenzel RP, Brune H, Grimmer
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Krewski D, Thorslund T and Withey J
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U.S. Environmental Protection Agenc
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Sorahan et al. (1983) studied cance
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Lijinsky W. 1986. Chronic bioassay
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the drinking water (Schroeder and M
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Table II. Effective dose, upper-bou
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BIS(2-CHLOROETHYL)ETHER CAS No: 111
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IV. DERIVATION OF CANCER POTENCY Ba
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BIS(CHLOROMETHYL)ETHER CAS No: 542-
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Table 1. Bis(chloromethyl)ether-ind
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Drew RT, Laskin S, Kuschner M and N
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ates for the 1968 U.S. male populat
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Table 1: Incidence of primary tumor
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National Institute of Occupational
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was less than 0.05 when controlling
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up period. The final cohort include
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If the cadmium-exposed workers incl
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on personnel records (20%); (3) eva
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were exposed to a continuous (23.5
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procedure (NLIN), the parameters we
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International Agency for Research o
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Two reports were published on cance
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Mendel rats, respectively), and sub
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Eschenbrenner A and Miller E. 1946.
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III. CARCINOGENIC EFFECTS Human Stu
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cancers, were less than expected. T
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and no cases of cancer (although cl
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There was a statistically significa
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NTP (1982a) also conducted an carci
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Several pathologists have independe
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hepatocellular adenoma/carcinoma tu
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carcinogenic potency may decline in
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Cochrane W, Singh J and Miles W. 19
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North Atlantic Treaty Organization,
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CHLORINATED PARAFFINS (average chai
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ased on dose-response data for beni
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chloroform in drinking water with k
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Overall, the present epidemiologica
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female dogs received toothpaste bas
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Calculated q 1 * values from the ab
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Hogan MD, Chi Py, Hoel DG and Mitch
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Table 1. Study design summary for N
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V. REFERENCES California Environmen
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toluidine. Followup of this subcoho
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feeding studies on by NCI (1979) us
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CHROMIUM (HEXAVALENT) CAS No: 18540
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expected rate may be inflated becau
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Oral Borneff et al. (1968) exposed
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CREOSOTE (COAL TAR-DERIVED) CAS No:
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from an inhalation exposure study (
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Table 1. Study design summary for N
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Table 1. Experimental design for ca
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Hazardous Substance Data Bank (HSDB
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Table 1: Tumor induction in Fischer
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Table 1. Experimental design of 2,4
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Additional analysis of these data b
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Jackson RJ, Greene CJ, Thomas JT, M
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Table 1. Tumor incidence in rats ex
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Girard R, Tolot F, Martin P and Bou
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exposed more than 16 years before t
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interpretation of dose extrapolatio
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1, 1-DICHLOROETHANE CAS No: 75-34-3
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Table 1b. Study design for carcinog
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National Cancer Institute (NCI) 197
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mice, hepatocellular carcinoma inci
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V. REFERENCES California Department
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DAB/day by gavage for the life of t
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2,4-DINITROTOLUENE CAS No: 121-14-2
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Ellis et al.(1979) (also reported b
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Final Statement of Reasons for OAL,
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to the small sample size and short
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In an inhalation study, Torkelson e
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V. REFERENCES American Conference o
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EPICHLOROHYDRIN CAS No: 106-89-8 I.
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espiratory tumors were noted in the
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Table 4. Epichlorohydrin-induced fo
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Konishi Y, Kawabata A, Denda A, Ike
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exposed to arsenicals for 20 months
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espectively (all statistically sign
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ETHYLENE DICHLORIDE CAS No: 107-06-
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Several factors have been suggested
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myelogenous leukemias (4 and 8 year
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statistically significant. CDHS not
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combined with the incidence in the
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incidence of primary brain tumors.
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Table 6 (continued): Organ/Sex Mali
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An Upper 95% Confidence Limit (UCL)
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ETHYLENE THIOUREA (ETU) CAS No: 96-
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male and female rats. Tumor inciden
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FORMALDEHYDE CAS No: 50-00-0 I. PHY
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presented an extension of a previou
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Methodology In developing a spectru
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Casanova M, Morgan KT, Steinhagen W
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Tobe M, Kaneko T, Uchida Y, Kamata
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Table 1. Hexachlorobenzene-induced
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50 pups (F 1 ) of each sex were ran
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Ertürk E, Lambrecht RW, Peters HA,
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Table 1. Liver hepatoma incidence i
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1988). An airborne unit risk factor
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HYDRAZINE CAS No: 302-01-2 I. PHYSI
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Methodology Inhalation A linearized
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LEAD AND LEAD COMPOUNDS (INORGANIC)
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and other occupational carcinogens
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y inhalation is similar for rats an
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Goyer RA. 1992. Nephrotoxicity and
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LINDANE (g-Hexachlorocyclohexane) C
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Using these relationships, a human
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METHYL TERT-BUTYL ETHER (MTBE) CAS
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Tumor incidences according to the r
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kidney changes indicative of chroni
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Interspecies scaling for oral doses
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Table 4 (continued): Dose Response
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Experimental Pathology Laboratories
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Animal Studies Male and female HaM/
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Gold L, Sawyer C, Magaw R, Backman
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Using the statistical tests (one-ta
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Table 1: Methylene chloride-induced
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Significant treatment-related incre
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National Toxicology Program (NTP) 1
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noted; however, the study duration
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Crump KS, Howe RB, Van Landingham C
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Table 1. Michler’s ketone-induced
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NICKEL AND NICKEL COMPOUNDS CAS No:
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the high exposure group was 14.0. A
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male and 121 female rats, was expos
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2.1 - 2.6 × 10 -4 (µg/m 3 ) -1 .
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The increased incidence of bladder
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A linearized multistage procedure w
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N-NITROSO-N-METHYLETHYLAMINE CAS No
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propylamine in drinking water at 0.
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N-NITROSODIETHYLAMINE CAS No: 55-18
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Table 2. Treatment groups, concentr
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California Department of Health Ser
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animals and the second generation t
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ationale for selection of the OEHHA
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A unit risk value based upon air co
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N-NITROSODIPHENYLAMINE CAS No: 86-3
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Methodology Dosage estimates of NDP
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Crump KS, Howe RB. 1984. The multis
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Table 1. P-Nitrosodiphenylamine-ind
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N-NITROSOMORPHOLINE CAS No: 59-89-2
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N-NITROSOPIPERIDINE CAS No: 100-75-
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Table 3. N-Nitrosopiperidine-induce
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Crump KS, Howe RB, Van Landingham C
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testicular tumors were noted in the
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PARTICULATE MATTER FROM DIESEL-FUEL
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etired railroad workers who had had
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employment (χ 2 test for trend: p
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elevated smoking-adjusted risk esti
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Table 1 (continued): Reference Miln
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Table 1 (continued): Reference Damb
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Table 1 (continued): Reference Burn
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Table 1 (continued): Reference Raff
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Table 1 (continued): Epidemiologica
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Table 1 (continued): Epidemiologica
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Table 1 (continued): Reference Wegm
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Animal Studies Section 6.1 (Animal
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The variability, or heterogeneity,
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estimate for those studies for whic
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Figure 1: Estimates of Relative Ris
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q 1 * = Excess relative risk × CA
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Table 3: Number of Workers in the E
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u nexposed workers at zero concentr
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for each µg/m 3 of diesel exhaust
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Table 4: Values from Unit Risk for
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their findings that a reasonable es
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Garshick E, Schenker M, Woskie S an
Page 481 and 482:
Lewis T, Green, FH MW, Burg J and L
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Rothman K. 1986. Modern epidemiolog
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PENTACHLOROPHENOL CAS No: 87-86-5 I
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The default lifespan for mice is 10
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documented. An excess risk from ski
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B6C3F 1 mice and F344/N rats were e
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This model, rather than a time depe
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POLYCHLORINATED BIPHENYLS (PCBs) CA
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several benign adenomatous lesions
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Ito et al. (1973) exposed groups of
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could not be characterized by chlor
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exposure (all pathways and mixtures
Page 505 and 506:
National Toxicology Program 1993. T
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Table 1. Potassium bromate-induced
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1,3-PROPANE SULTONE CAS No: 1120-71
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PROPYLENE OXIDE CAS No: 75-56-9 I.
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oxide. In the NTP carcinogenicity s
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1,1,2,2-TETRACHLOROETHANE CAS No: 7
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assumed a body weight of 70 kg and
Page 521 and 522: total); an untreated control group
Page 523 and 524: TOLUENE DIISOCYANATE CAS No: 26471-
Page 525 and 526: Animal Studies The National Toxicol
Page 527 and 528: Mortillaro PT and Schiavon M. 1982.
Page 529 and 530: male or female rats. Increases in h
Page 531 and 532: TRICHLOROETHYLENE CAS No: 79-01-6 I
Page 533 and 534: A mortality analysis of a cohort of
Page 535 and 536: elative to that of the controls whi
Page 537 and 538: applied or metabolized. The range o
Page 539 and 540: Katz RM and Jowett D. 1981. Female
Page 541 and 542: 10,000 ppm 2,4,6-trichlorophenol in
Page 543 and 544: IV. DERIVATION OF CANCER POTENCY Ba
Page 545 and 546: Bionetics Research Laboratories. 19
Page 547 and 548: control; females: 6/10 exposed, 0/1
Page 549 and 550: over controls (p < 0.04). Other tum
Page 551 and 552: was increased (100/314 exposed vs.
Page 553 and 554: Table 3. Cancer potency estimates f
Page 555 and 556: Crouch E. 1983. Uncertainties in in
Page 557 and 558: VINYL CHLORIDE CAS No: 75-01-4 I. P
Page 559 and 560: Table 1 (continued): A Summary of E
Page 561 and 562: al., 1983). Histopathology of all o
Page 563 and 564: Table 3: Tumor incidences in 100 pp
Page 565 and 566: experiment, animals were exposed to
Page 567 and 568: Experiment BT1 Most previous risk a
Page 569 and 570: No statistical analyses of mortalit
Page 571: Table 11 gives unit risk estimates
Page 575 and 576: Nicholson WJ, Hammond EC, Seidman H
Page 577 and 578: immunotoxicity, reproductive toxici
Page 579 and 580: scheme. TEFs for two major noncance
Page 581 and 582: NATO/CCMS (1988a) Pilot Study on In
Page 583 and 584: Table 2 Toxicity Equivalency Factor
Page 585 and 586: Table 4 A Comparison of CTEF- and I
Page 587 and 588: Office of Environmental Health Haza
Page 589 and 590: Group 4: The agent is probably not
Page 591 and 592: TECHNICAL SUPPORT DOCUMENT FOR DESC
Page 593 and 594: US EPA IRIS Inhalation Unit Risk an
Page 595 and 596: TECHNICAL SUPPORT DOCUMENT FOR DESC
Page 597 and 598: as appropriate, and revise IRIS fil
Page 599 and 600: Chemical Exposure Route Study Type
Page 605 and 606: Methyl tert-butyl ether p. 5: Added
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