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PDF(2.7mb) - 國家政策研究基金會

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Party Politics after the 2008 Legislative Election 99<br />

A decrease in confidence in the Kuomintang and<br />

an increase in confidence in the Democratic Progressive<br />

Party occurred in June, July, September and October.<br />

The reverse was seen in August and November. The<br />

decrease in confidence in the Kuomintang and the concomitant<br />

increase in confidence in the opposition party<br />

resulted from roaring commodity prices rises, failure to<br />

control the entero virus epidemic, Cabinet appointments,<br />

and confirmation of nominees for the Control<br />

Yuan and the Examination Yuan, and the toxic milk<br />

powder scare on the one hand and Tsai Ing-wen’s election<br />

as Democratic Progressive Party chairwoman on<br />

the other.<br />

Factors contributing to the increase in confidence<br />

in the Kuomintang and the decrease in confidence in<br />

the opposition included the scandals involving President<br />

Chen Shui-bian and his family, Ma’s promise of<br />

leadership, and Premier Liu’s frequent appearances in<br />

public. The successful meeting in Taipei between Chen<br />

Yunlin and P. K. Chiang, chairman of the Straits Exchange<br />

Foundation, increased public confidence in the<br />

Kuomintang in November. Aside from the violent rallies<br />

while Chen Yunlin was in Taipei, the detention of<br />

President Chen, Chiayi magistrate Chen Ming-wen and<br />

Yunlin magistrate Su Chih-fen made the public lose<br />

confidence in the Democratic Progressive Party. Both<br />

Chen Ming-wen and Su were arrested on corruption<br />

charges and held incommunicado at detention centers<br />

for more than a month. So was President Chen.<br />

Conclusion<br />

efforts to lead Taiwan out of the economic recession.<br />

The Kuomintang has failed to take advantage of its<br />

being a predominant party after the January elections.<br />

Despite holding less than a quarter of the 113 seats<br />

in parliament, the opposition Democratic Progressive<br />

Party managed to create controversial issues to provide<br />

checks and balances as a minority. It also adopted a<br />

new political line to keep its power base. It encourages<br />

supporters to take to the streets. Tsai Ing-wen, elected<br />

chairwoman, was able to boost the party’s image, which,<br />

however, was again tarnished by President Chen<br />

Shui-bian’s trial for money laundry, corruption and<br />

graft.<br />

The public was dissatisfied with the ruling and<br />

opposition parties. Most people showed lower confidence<br />

in the Democratic Progressive Party than in the<br />

Kuomintang. The ruling party was blamed for poor<br />

crisis management and frequent gaffes of its leaders,<br />

from President Ma on down. The opposition was criticized<br />

for corruption and graft, violent mass movements,<br />

and in-fighting between its pro- and anti-Chen blocs.<br />

If neither party can solve its problems, middle-of-the<br />

road voters may be so disenchanted as to<br />

refuse to go to the polls in future elections. The results<br />

of elections may be determined by their respective core<br />

supporters. Voters are expected to elect 21 mayors and<br />

county magistrates across the country toward the end of<br />

2009. Both parties have to do what they can to win over<br />

as many sway voters as possible to ensure victory.<br />

The new election system contributed to the Kuomintang’s<br />

landslide victory in the legislative election on<br />

January 12. It controls a virtual three-fourths majority<br />

in the Legislative Yuan. Ma Ying-jeou of the Kuomintang<br />

was elected president on March 22. The voters<br />

expected the majority government of the Kuomintang<br />

to get the Taiwan economy growing apace. They were<br />

let down. President Ma does not enjoy a smooth ruling<br />

partnership with the Kuomintang and the Legislative<br />

Yuan it controls. Furthermore, the global economic<br />

crisis and domestic disputes frustrated the government

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