PDF(2.7mb) - 國家政策研究基金會
PDF(2.7mb) - 國家政策研究基金會
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Party Politics after the 2008 Legislative Election 99<br />
A decrease in confidence in the Kuomintang and<br />
an increase in confidence in the Democratic Progressive<br />
Party occurred in June, July, September and October.<br />
The reverse was seen in August and November. The<br />
decrease in confidence in the Kuomintang and the concomitant<br />
increase in confidence in the opposition party<br />
resulted from roaring commodity prices rises, failure to<br />
control the entero virus epidemic, Cabinet appointments,<br />
and confirmation of nominees for the Control<br />
Yuan and the Examination Yuan, and the toxic milk<br />
powder scare on the one hand and Tsai Ing-wen’s election<br />
as Democratic Progressive Party chairwoman on<br />
the other.<br />
Factors contributing to the increase in confidence<br />
in the Kuomintang and the decrease in confidence in<br />
the opposition included the scandals involving President<br />
Chen Shui-bian and his family, Ma’s promise of<br />
leadership, and Premier Liu’s frequent appearances in<br />
public. The successful meeting in Taipei between Chen<br />
Yunlin and P. K. Chiang, chairman of the Straits Exchange<br />
Foundation, increased public confidence in the<br />
Kuomintang in November. Aside from the violent rallies<br />
while Chen Yunlin was in Taipei, the detention of<br />
President Chen, Chiayi magistrate Chen Ming-wen and<br />
Yunlin magistrate Su Chih-fen made the public lose<br />
confidence in the Democratic Progressive Party. Both<br />
Chen Ming-wen and Su were arrested on corruption<br />
charges and held incommunicado at detention centers<br />
for more than a month. So was President Chen.<br />
Conclusion<br />
efforts to lead Taiwan out of the economic recession.<br />
The Kuomintang has failed to take advantage of its<br />
being a predominant party after the January elections.<br />
Despite holding less than a quarter of the 113 seats<br />
in parliament, the opposition Democratic Progressive<br />
Party managed to create controversial issues to provide<br />
checks and balances as a minority. It also adopted a<br />
new political line to keep its power base. It encourages<br />
supporters to take to the streets. Tsai Ing-wen, elected<br />
chairwoman, was able to boost the party’s image, which,<br />
however, was again tarnished by President Chen<br />
Shui-bian’s trial for money laundry, corruption and<br />
graft.<br />
The public was dissatisfied with the ruling and<br />
opposition parties. Most people showed lower confidence<br />
in the Democratic Progressive Party than in the<br />
Kuomintang. The ruling party was blamed for poor<br />
crisis management and frequent gaffes of its leaders,<br />
from President Ma on down. The opposition was criticized<br />
for corruption and graft, violent mass movements,<br />
and in-fighting between its pro- and anti-Chen blocs.<br />
If neither party can solve its problems, middle-of-the<br />
road voters may be so disenchanted as to<br />
refuse to go to the polls in future elections. The results<br />
of elections may be determined by their respective core<br />
supporters. Voters are expected to elect 21 mayors and<br />
county magistrates across the country toward the end of<br />
2009. Both parties have to do what they can to win over<br />
as many sway voters as possible to ensure victory.<br />
The new election system contributed to the Kuomintang’s<br />
landslide victory in the legislative election on<br />
January 12. It controls a virtual three-fourths majority<br />
in the Legislative Yuan. Ma Ying-jeou of the Kuomintang<br />
was elected president on March 22. The voters<br />
expected the majority government of the Kuomintang<br />
to get the Taiwan economy growing apace. They were<br />
let down. President Ma does not enjoy a smooth ruling<br />
partnership with the Kuomintang and the Legislative<br />
Yuan it controls. Furthermore, the global economic<br />
crisis and domestic disputes frustrated the government