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PDF(2.7mb) - 國家政策研究基金會

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36 Taiwan Development Perspectives 2009<br />

Table 1 Taiwan’s Annual Average Economic Performance Unit: %<br />

1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000-2007<br />

Economic growth rate 9.17% 10.31% 8.18% 6.51% 4.07%<br />

Unemployment rate 3.31% 1.65% 2.07% 2.04% 4.26%<br />

Inflation rate 3.39% 9.53% 4.64% 2.88% 0.89%<br />

Saving rate 20.18% 30.88% 33.12% 27.43% 26.79%<br />

Investment rate 21.21% 29.37% 23.4% 23.97% 20.13%<br />

Export growth rate 33.83 32.62 15.73% 6.70% 9.66%<br />

Source: Directerate-General of Budget, Accounting, and Statistics, Executive Yuan, R.O.C.<br />

Suffice it to say that the slowdown in Taiwan’s<br />

economy since 2000 is not due to its foreign investment<br />

and trade, especially with China, but to stagnant domestic<br />

consumption and private investment, which lowered<br />

domestic final demand and suppressed domestic<br />

capital stock formation, further decreasing the economic<br />

growth momentum. Figure 2 shows that after<br />

2001 the share of exports to GDP increased while that<br />

of domestic consumption to GDP declined. Furthermore,<br />

Figure 3 shows that except 2004 the growth rate<br />

of domestic consumption and investment remained<br />

stagnant, averaging below 2 percent, while that of exports<br />

stayed at about 10 percent. Taiwan’s FDI in China<br />

contributed to the growth of its exports because of the<br />

vertical division of labor across the Strait. Taiwan has<br />

registered a surplus in trade with China every year since<br />

it began. The surplus topped US$18.29 billion in 2007.<br />

Table 2 shows the contribution of various final<br />

expenditures to economic growth. It is clear from Table<br />

2 that the major factor contributing to economic growth<br />

is exports. Without foreign trade, the growth rate would

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