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PDF(2.7mb) - 國家政策研究基金會

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PLAN Looks beyond Taiwan 171<br />

PLAN Looks beyond Taiwan<br />

LANG, Ning-li<br />

Abstract<br />

China’s military modernization has changed the People’s Liberation Army (PLA)<br />

thoroughly, its navy and air force in particular. The PLA Navy (PLAN) and the PLA Air<br />

Force (PLAAF) have acquired since 2006 more than sufficient capabilities to defeat their<br />

counterparts in the Republic of China on Taiwan.<br />

The primary mission of the PLAN is offshore defense. But it plans to develop a<br />

blue-water presence along the first island chain in the South China Sea by 2010, along the<br />

second island chain by 2025, and along the third island chain by 2050.<br />

The blue-water presence aims at defending China's highly developed coastal areas,<br />

where its offshore defense strategy alone cannot provide enough security. The homeland<br />

defense line has to be extended outwards to deepen the defense perimeter.<br />

To China, Taiwan is theoretically within its “special economic zone,” for the island is<br />

less than 200 nautical miles away from its southeastern province of Fujian. Taiwan is in the<br />

PLAN’s way to get to the Pacific.<br />

That is why the People’s Republic persistently refuses to yield even an inch in dispute<br />

over the sovereignty of Taiwan. The city of Sansha was established on Hainan Island in<br />

October 2007. It has jurisdiction over three archipelagoes in the South Sea. The PLAN also<br />

enhanced the combat capability of its South Sea Fleet.<br />

The PLAN is charged with protecting China’s sea lanes of communication (SLOC).<br />

First priority is given to the maintenance of the regional SLOC security in the South China<br />

Sea. But if China wants to conduct checkpoint defense in the South China Sea, the PLAN<br />

must be strong enough to overpower all Southeast Asian navies combined and cope with<br />

Japan’s Maritime Self-Defense Force and the Indian Navy.<br />

The PLAN has conducted a fleet exercise in the Northern Pacific. Does it show China<br />

already started building a blue water navy? China does not seem to seek hegemony in Asia.<br />

There are no signs that China is trying to acquire such a navy in pursuit of naval dominance<br />

in Asia against the United States, albeit the PLAN is reported to plan to acquire an aircraft

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