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PDF(2.7mb) - 國家政策研究基金會

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Development of Democratic Politics after 2008 11<br />

2005 Magistrates and mayors 50.96% 41.95%<br />

2006 Mayor of Taipei City 53.81% 40.89%<br />

2006 Mayor of Kaohsiung City 49.27% 49.41%<br />

2008 Legislators 53.48%/51.23% 38.65%/36.91%<br />

2008 President 58.45% 41.55%<br />

Remarks: The “single constituency and two-vote system” was applied for the 2008 legislative elections. The first<br />

figure denotes the regional rate while the second figure refers to the vote-winning rate for legislators at<br />

large and nationals living abroad.<br />

Sources: the databank website of Central Election Commission. http://210.69.23.140/cec/cechead.asp; information of<br />

elections for public servants, Election Research Center, National Chengchi University.<br />

http://vote.nccu.edu.tw/cec/vote4.asp<br />

The above table is produced by the author.<br />

One factor contributing to the change emerged in<br />

2005 in an amendment to the Constitution. It mandates<br />

the “single constituency/two-vote system” for parliamentary<br />

elections. In the legislative elections of 2008,<br />

voters were required to cast two ballots, one for a candidate<br />

and the other for a political party, to elect 74<br />

“regional” lawmakers, one from each single constituency,<br />

and 39 others at large from among nominees of<br />

political parties according to proportional representation.<br />

The Democratic Progressive Party received 39<br />

percent of the votes cast, a record high, but was able to<br />

win 18 percent of the seats, the share it had in 1986<br />

when it was inaugurated.<br />

The 2008 legislative and presidential elections<br />

have set four trends in Taiwan’s political development.<br />

They are bipartisan competition, a majority government<br />

as the key issue in that competition, political moderation,<br />

and a leaning toward the presidential system of<br />

government.<br />

1. Bipartisan Competition<br />

All minority parties were shut out of the Legislative<br />

Yuan in 2008. Only two major parties remain.<br />

The new legislative election system tends to eliminate<br />

small political parties. The Kuomintang and the Democratic<br />

Progressive Party will compete against each<br />

other to win a parliamentary majority in the foreseeable<br />

future. The bipartisan competition also precludes possibilities<br />

of party alliance and coalition government.<br />

2. Majority Government as the Key Issue<br />

The Democratic Progressive Party could never<br />

control a majority in the Legislative Yuan. Its government<br />

was a minority one, lacking full support of the<br />

parliament. A minority government is prone to political<br />

instability. In the past, most voters in Taiwan supported<br />

one party in the presidential elections but the other in<br />

the legislative elections so that checks and balances<br />

might be in place against the administration. While the<br />

Democratic Progressive Party was in power, its minority<br />

government was crippled by crisis after political<br />

crisis.<br />

Discontented voters who elected a Kuomintang-controlled<br />

legislature opted for a majority government<br />

to make Ma Ying-jeou president. (The votes<br />

Ma received were five percent more than the party won<br />

in the legislative elections.) A majority government is<br />

conducive to political stability as well as Taiwan’s<br />

economic development. In the future, the two parties<br />

need to make majority government the key issue in<br />

competition for power.<br />

3. Political Moderation<br />

Before the new election system was introduced,<br />

legislators had been elected by “single-nontransferable<br />

votes” from multiple constituencies. Radical candidates,<br />

those diehard Taiwan independence activists and<br />

equally deeply ingrained Chinese unification advocates,<br />

had chances to win seats in the Legislative Yuan. The

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