PDF(2.7mb) - 國家政策研究基金會
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48 Taiwan Development Perspectives 2009<br />
time-consuming process, however. Consideration<br />
should be given to possibilities of importing skilled<br />
labor from abroad. In a knowledge-base economy, mobility<br />
of high skilled labor is a critical index for a country’s<br />
competitiveness; i.e., to turn a brain drain into a<br />
brain inflow.<br />
d. Deregulation and re-regulation:<br />
One of the important government roles is to institute<br />
rules of the game so as to reduce transaction costs,<br />
enhance efficient resource allocation, and make the<br />
market function and prevent market failure. Any regulations<br />
that prevent or hinder the market from functioning<br />
well should be abolished. For instance, the<br />
destination and amount of foreign direct investment<br />
should not be regulated and there should be no restrictions<br />
on labor mobility. Re-regulation may guard<br />
against market failure or malfunction. It may be applied<br />
to improve information exposure and transparency,<br />
food safety and quarantine inspection as well as raise<br />
product standards and ensure professional accreditation.<br />
Taiwan should seriously consider its participation<br />
in Asian regional integration and cooperation as well as<br />
its membership in international organizations to preclude<br />
its being economically marginalized. 7 However,<br />
since China plays an important dual role as an assembling<br />
factory for Asian products as well as a huge potential<br />
market for its neighboring economies, Taiwan<br />
should improve and consolidate the cross-Strait to ensure<br />
its long-term interests.<br />
Taiwan’s cumulative foreign direct investment in<br />
China has topped US$47.5 billion. Trade with China<br />
totaled US$635 billon in 2007. The market-driven division<br />
of labor across the Strait seems inevitable as it<br />
7 Using computable general equilibrium (CGE) model,<br />
Chow (2008) finds a significant negative effect on<br />
Taiwan’s GDP if Taiwan is excluded from the recent<br />
surge of RTAs and regional cooperation initiatives like<br />
ASEAN plus 3. See also Chen and Ku (2007) for similar<br />
results.<br />
benefits the production competitiveness of both sides in<br />
the international market.<br />
As Taiwan has a geographical advantage of proximity<br />
to China and is located in the center of East Asia,<br />
the direct links of transportation and communication<br />
across the Strait will greatly help promote trade and<br />
investment by reducing direct or indirect transaction<br />
costs. The direct links will also help realize a better<br />
division of labor across the Strait and the globalization<br />
of Taiwan businesses, which is conducive to the upgrading<br />
of Taiwan’s industrial structure and participation<br />
in Asian economic cooperation.<br />
2. Economic Cooperation across the Taiwan<br />
Strait<br />
Official statistics show that from 1991 to last October,<br />
Taiwan had invested a total of US$73.8 billion in<br />
China, with cumulative trade reaching as much as<br />
US$752.4 billion. However, not one single official investment<br />
guarantee or trade agreement has been signed<br />
between Taiwan and China. This makes Taiwanese<br />
trade with China risky as it lacks any safeguards. It also<br />
goes against the spirit of the WTO and is potentially<br />
damaging to the Taiwanese economy. Both Taiwan and<br />
China are intent on trade normalization across the Strait.<br />
The three direct links of flights, maritime shipping and<br />
postal service were set in place December 15, 2008.<br />
The most urgent task facing Taiwan now is to further<br />
institutionalize cross-Strait trade relations. The following<br />
steps should be taken to achieve closer economic<br />
cooperation between the two sides of the Strait.<br />
a. Conclusion of a trade normalization arrangement:<br />
Any institutional arrangements for cross-Strait<br />
trade normalization should be made under the framework<br />
of the World Trade Organization as both Taiwan<br />
and China are its members. Cross-Strait economic cooperation<br />
should accord with the trend of Asian economic<br />
integration. As a result, the trade normalization<br />
will enable Taiwan to join in the process of Asian eco-