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PDF(2.7mb) - 國家政策研究基金會

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48 Taiwan Development Perspectives 2009<br />

time-consuming process, however. Consideration<br />

should be given to possibilities of importing skilled<br />

labor from abroad. In a knowledge-base economy, mobility<br />

of high skilled labor is a critical index for a country’s<br />

competitiveness; i.e., to turn a brain drain into a<br />

brain inflow.<br />

d. Deregulation and re-regulation:<br />

One of the important government roles is to institute<br />

rules of the game so as to reduce transaction costs,<br />

enhance efficient resource allocation, and make the<br />

market function and prevent market failure. Any regulations<br />

that prevent or hinder the market from functioning<br />

well should be abolished. For instance, the<br />

destination and amount of foreign direct investment<br />

should not be regulated and there should be no restrictions<br />

on labor mobility. Re-regulation may guard<br />

against market failure or malfunction. It may be applied<br />

to improve information exposure and transparency,<br />

food safety and quarantine inspection as well as raise<br />

product standards and ensure professional accreditation.<br />

Taiwan should seriously consider its participation<br />

in Asian regional integration and cooperation as well as<br />

its membership in international organizations to preclude<br />

its being economically marginalized. 7 However,<br />

since China plays an important dual role as an assembling<br />

factory for Asian products as well as a huge potential<br />

market for its neighboring economies, Taiwan<br />

should improve and consolidate the cross-Strait to ensure<br />

its long-term interests.<br />

Taiwan’s cumulative foreign direct investment in<br />

China has topped US$47.5 billion. Trade with China<br />

totaled US$635 billon in 2007. The market-driven division<br />

of labor across the Strait seems inevitable as it<br />

7 Using computable general equilibrium (CGE) model,<br />

Chow (2008) finds a significant negative effect on<br />

Taiwan’s GDP if Taiwan is excluded from the recent<br />

surge of RTAs and regional cooperation initiatives like<br />

ASEAN plus 3. See also Chen and Ku (2007) for similar<br />

results.<br />

benefits the production competitiveness of both sides in<br />

the international market.<br />

As Taiwan has a geographical advantage of proximity<br />

to China and is located in the center of East Asia,<br />

the direct links of transportation and communication<br />

across the Strait will greatly help promote trade and<br />

investment by reducing direct or indirect transaction<br />

costs. The direct links will also help realize a better<br />

division of labor across the Strait and the globalization<br />

of Taiwan businesses, which is conducive to the upgrading<br />

of Taiwan’s industrial structure and participation<br />

in Asian economic cooperation.<br />

2. Economic Cooperation across the Taiwan<br />

Strait<br />

Official statistics show that from 1991 to last October,<br />

Taiwan had invested a total of US$73.8 billion in<br />

China, with cumulative trade reaching as much as<br />

US$752.4 billion. However, not one single official investment<br />

guarantee or trade agreement has been signed<br />

between Taiwan and China. This makes Taiwanese<br />

trade with China risky as it lacks any safeguards. It also<br />

goes against the spirit of the WTO and is potentially<br />

damaging to the Taiwanese economy. Both Taiwan and<br />

China are intent on trade normalization across the Strait.<br />

The three direct links of flights, maritime shipping and<br />

postal service were set in place December 15, 2008.<br />

The most urgent task facing Taiwan now is to further<br />

institutionalize cross-Strait trade relations. The following<br />

steps should be taken to achieve closer economic<br />

cooperation between the two sides of the Strait.<br />

a. Conclusion of a trade normalization arrangement:<br />

Any institutional arrangements for cross-Strait<br />

trade normalization should be made under the framework<br />

of the World Trade Organization as both Taiwan<br />

and China are its members. Cross-Strait economic cooperation<br />

should accord with the trend of Asian economic<br />

integration. As a result, the trade normalization<br />

will enable Taiwan to join in the process of Asian eco-

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