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PDF(2.7mb) - 國家政策研究基金會

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What’s Wrong with Taiwan’s Economy? Impact of Globalization 33<br />

What’s Wrong with Taiwan’s Economy?<br />

Impact of Globalization<br />

CHUANG, Yih-chyi<br />

Abstract<br />

Taiwan’s economic slowdown since 2000 can be attributed mainly to its sluggish domestic<br />

demand with low domestic consumption and investment. It was the growth of foreign<br />

trade, especially trade with China, that supported the growth of Taiwan’s economy.<br />

As the world was hit a global financial crisis, Taiwan is heading for an economic disaster.<br />

A severe drop in orders from abroad for ICT related products after the third quarter of 2008<br />

signifies the suppression of export trade as the engine of economic growth for Taiwan. The<br />

best thing Taiwan can do in 2009 to cope with sluggish domestic and foreign demand is to<br />

stimulate domestic demand by enforcing expansionary fiscal and monetary policies to stop<br />

the economy from further recession. However, the Taiwan economy needs further structural<br />

transformation, particularly modernization of the service sector, to increase aggregate productivity<br />

and create more opportunities. Taiwan also needs to map out a forward-looking<br />

strategy to further develop international trade. Harmonious relations between the two sides<br />

of the Taiwan Strait are conducive to Taiwan’s participation in Asian economic integration<br />

as a regional resource coordinator.<br />

Keywords: Global financial crisis, sluggish domestic demand, outward FDI, deindustrialization,<br />

Asian economic integration.

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