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HEPATOLOGY, VOLUME 62, NUMBER 1 (SUPPL) AASLD ABSTRACTS 1089A<br />

of CHC. Older age and receiving treatment were significant<br />

predictors of developing cirrhosis.<br />

Disclosures:<br />

Louis Brooks - Employment: Optum<br />

Mindie H. Nguyen - Advisory Committees or Review Panels: Bristol-Myers<br />

Squibb, Bayer AG, Gilead, Novartis, Onyx; Consulting: Gilead Sciences, Inc.;<br />

Grant/Research Support: Gilead Sciences, Inc., Bristol-Myers Squibb, Novartis<br />

Pharmaceuticals, Roche Pharma AG, Idenix, Hologic, ISIS<br />

The following authors have nothing to disclose: Philip Vutien, Joseph K. Hoang<br />

1806<br />

Progression to liver cirrhosis in patients with chronic<br />

hepatitis C (CHC) in a large United States cohort: a natural<br />

history study<br />

Nghia H. Nguyen 2,1 , Joseph K. Hoang 1 , An K. Le 1 , Changqing<br />

Zhao 1,3 , Christine Y. Chang 1 , Richard H. Le 1 , Mingjuan Jin 1,4 ,<br />

Alina Kutsenko 5 , Lee Ann Yasukawa 6 , Jian Q. Zhang 7 , Susan C.<br />

Weber 6 , Mindie H. Nguyen 1 ; 1 Division of Gastroenterology and<br />

Hepatology, Stanford University Medical Center, Palo Alto, CA;<br />

2 Medicine, University of California, San Diego, San Diego, CA;<br />

3 Department of Cirrhosis,Institute of Liver Disease, Shuguang Hospital,<br />

Shanghai, China; 4 Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics,<br />

Zhejiang University School of Public Health, Hangzhou,<br />

China; 5 Department of Medicine, Stanford University Medical<br />

Center, Palo Alto, CA; 6 Center for Clinical Informatics, Stanford<br />

University School of Medicine, Palo Alto, CA; 7 Chinese Hospital,<br />

San Francisco, CA<br />

Purpose: Most CHC <strong>studies</strong> in the U.S. are based on estimates<br />

from simulation models. Our goal was to describe CHC disease<br />

progression to cirrhosis in a real-life cohort from 2 ethnically<br />

diverse U.S. centers. Methods: ICD-9 query identified 9207<br />

consecutive CHC patients in 2005-2014. Analysis was performed<br />

from data obtained via individual chart review in 7105<br />

confirmed CHC cases. Kaplan Meier method was performed<br />

to estimate cumulative incidence of cirrhosis. Cox regression<br />

was performed to identify predictors of disease progression<br />

Results: The majority of our patients were men (62%), had<br />

genotype 1 (69%) and mean age of 55.4±10.7. Treatment<br />

rate was low (13%) in our cohort with the majority of treated<br />

patients having received interferon-based therapy (58%).<br />

Crude incidence for development of cirrhosis was 353.7 per<br />

10,000 person-years. On subgroup analyses, men (vs women)<br />

had a significantly higher overall 5-year cumulative incidence<br />

of cirrhosis (p=0.009) and also when stratified by age (

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