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Report from the Sub-comittee on the environment and health

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++scenario: reduced use of<br />

pesticides<br />

Treatment frequency index<br />

in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> five scenarios<br />

• chemical c<strong>on</strong>trol of couch grass in 1 out of 10 years, combined with<br />

mechanical c<strong>on</strong>trol<br />

• c<strong>on</strong>trolling pois<strong>on</strong>ous weed species such as spring groundsel in<br />

greenfeed<br />

• combating aphids when <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> damage threshold has been exceeded in<br />

cereals <strong>and</strong> peas<br />

• combating snails <strong>and</strong> flea beetles in rape when <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> damage threshold<br />

has been exceeded<br />

• combating clover weevil in clover seed producti<strong>on</strong><br />

• combating diseases <strong>and</strong> pests in fruit producti<strong>on</strong>, assessed <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> basis<br />

of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> level of attack<br />

• combating diseases <strong>and</strong> pests in vegetables, assessed <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> basis of<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> level of attack<br />

• for desiccati<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> preventi<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trol of fungi in garden seed<br />

crops.<br />

In <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> third scenario with reduced use of pesticides, serious ec<strong>on</strong>omic<br />

losses <str<strong>on</strong>g>from</str<strong>on</strong>g> pests are not envisaged. Producti<strong>on</strong> is similar to present<br />

producti<strong>on</strong>. The scenario is based <strong>on</strong> a proposal <str<strong>on</strong>g>from</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Danish Institute<br />

of Agricultural Sciences, which c<strong>on</strong>sidered in 1996 that <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>re was a<br />

realistic possibility of reducing <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> treatment frequency index without<br />

that affecting present farm-level ec<strong>on</strong>omy.<br />

In this scenario it is assumed that all available damage thresholds are<br />

used, toge<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r with mechanical weed c<strong>on</strong>trol, where <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se methods can<br />

compete with chemical methods. A crop rotati<strong>on</strong> very similar to that<br />

practised today can be expected, with ec<strong>on</strong>omic optimisati<strong>on</strong> but also<br />

optimisati<strong>on</strong> with respect to minimising use of pesticides.<br />

The 1994 treatment frequency index (Envir<strong>on</strong>mental Protecti<strong>on</strong> Agency<br />

1995b) has been chosen as <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> index in present producti<strong>on</strong>. Figure 10.1<br />

shows <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> expected treatment frequency index in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> different scenarios<br />

as a nati<strong>on</strong>al average for agricultural l<strong>and</strong>.<br />

Scenarier<br />

Plus-plus<br />

Plus<br />

Nul-plus<br />

Nul<br />

Nudrift (1994)<br />

����������������������������������������������������������������������<br />

����������������������������������������������������������������������<br />

����������������������������������������������������������������������<br />

������������������������<br />

������������������������<br />

������<br />

������<br />

0,05<br />

0,00<br />

0,50<br />

1,73<br />

����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������<br />

����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������<br />

2,51<br />

0,00 0,50 1,00 1,50 2,00 2,50 3,00<br />

Beh<strong>and</strong>lingshyppighed<br />

Figure 10.1<br />

The treatment frequency index in present producti<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> four scenarios. The<br />

1994 treatment frequency index is used as <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> index in present producti<strong>on</strong>.<br />

187

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