Report from the Sub-comittee on the environment and health
Report from the Sub-comittee on the environment and health
Report from the Sub-comittee on the environment and health
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C<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>cerning<br />
impacts <strong>on</strong> soil organisms<br />
in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> various scenarios<br />
C<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>s c<strong>on</strong>cerning<br />
impacts <strong>on</strong> farml<strong>and</strong> birds<br />
in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> various scenarios<br />
C<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>cerning<br />
analyses of changes in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
quantity of seed <str<strong>on</strong>g>from</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
plants in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> field in<br />
different scenarios<br />
fungivorous insect fauna would increase for a time by a factor of 1-2.5. If<br />
treatment with insecticides were omitted, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> insect fauna would increase<br />
by a factor of 2-4. The effect of fungicides <strong>and</strong> insecticides is often<br />
shorter than <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> effect of herbicides because <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> eliminati<strong>on</strong> of weed<br />
affects <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> fauna all through <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> seas<strong>on</strong>.<br />
The sub-committee has assessed <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> scenario analyses for springtails <strong>and</strong><br />
earthworms, since <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se are <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong>ly groups of soil organisms for which<br />
sufficient data are available (see chapter 10). It can be c<strong>on</strong>cluded that <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
populati<strong>on</strong> density of nei<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r springtails nor earthworms is affected by<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> pesticides authorised in Denmark, <strong>and</strong> used in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> scenario for<br />
present producti<strong>on</strong>, but that it is affected by crop rotati<strong>on</strong>, soil treatment,<br />
fertilisati<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> any sec<strong>on</strong>d crops. Scenarios that include increased use of<br />
manure <strong>and</strong> clover grass would benefit <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se groups of organisms.<br />
The sub-committee c<strong>on</strong>cludes <str<strong>on</strong>g>from</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> scenario analyses carried out (see<br />
chapter 10) that <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> populati<strong>on</strong>s of partridge, whitethroat <strong>and</strong><br />
yellowhammer would increase in all scenarios in relati<strong>on</strong> to present<br />
producti<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> that all <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> scenarios show a significantly increased<br />
populati<strong>on</strong> density for <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se species. This applies to <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> 0-scenario, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
+scenario <strong>and</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> ++scenario. For <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> o<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r species, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> index would be<br />
unaffected by <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> use of pesticides, compared with present producti<strong>on</strong>.<br />
Since <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> direct toxic effects <strong>on</strong> birds today are insignificant (see secti<strong>on</strong><br />
5.1), it is <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> indirect impacts that would be important, e.g. changes in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
birds’ food resources. In this c<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong>, it makes no difference to <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
birds whe<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>ir food resources are removed by means of pesticides or<br />
by mechanical or o<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r methods. Inter-row cultivati<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> harrowing<br />
could c<strong>on</strong>stitute a risk to ground-nesting species. Similarly, early <strong>and</strong>/or<br />
more extensive soil preparati<strong>on</strong> in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> autumn would very probably have<br />
c<strong>on</strong>siderable, adverse effects <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> birds because stubble fields are a<br />
very important foraging area for many species in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> autumn m<strong>on</strong>ths.<br />
For all <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> species except partridge <strong>and</strong>, to some extent, whitethroat, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
analyses show a significantly larger number in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> organic scenario than<br />
in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> 0-scenario because of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> difference in crop rotati<strong>on</strong>. However, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
crop rotati<strong>on</strong>s used are based <strong>on</strong> organic farms as <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>y were in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> 1980s,<br />
when <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> forms of operati<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> l<strong>and</strong> use differed <str<strong>on</strong>g>from</str<strong>on</strong>g> present-day<br />
organic farming.<br />
From <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> results of analyses with two different models, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> subcommittee<br />
c<strong>on</strong>cludes that <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>re could be an improvement in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s for wild plants <strong>and</strong> those animal species that depend <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>m<br />
as a food resource in all <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> scenarios without <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> number of wild plants<br />
growing out of c<strong>on</strong>trol provided mechanical weed c<strong>on</strong>trol <strong>and</strong> limited<br />
chemical c<strong>on</strong>trol were used. In <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> +scenario, a number of wild plant<br />
species could occur with greater frequency in crop rotati<strong>on</strong>s with ei<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r<br />
beets or rape. A more varied plant community could <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>refore be<br />
expected, providing food resources for a more diversified animal<br />
community (invertebrates <strong>and</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>ir predators). However, in view of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
poor competitiveness of beets, this crop rotati<strong>on</strong> would hardly be<br />
profitable unless new, alternative methods were found for c<strong>on</strong>trolling<br />
weed in beet crops. For <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> crop rotati<strong>on</strong> with rape, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> analyses show<br />
that <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>re would be a marked fall in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> number of seeds in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> seed pool<br />
after 25 years, compared with <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> situati<strong>on</strong> in present producti<strong>on</strong> after 25<br />
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