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Report from the Sub-comittee on the environment and health

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Scenarios with birds<br />

Methods <strong>and</strong> calculati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

fertiliser, 25 t<strong>on</strong>nes of pig manure per hectare were used, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> density of<br />

earthworms would increase by about 25%. For comparis<strong>on</strong>, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> density in<br />

a clover-grass field is shown. There, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> highest value is reached <strong>on</strong>e year<br />

after reploughing. It can thus be c<strong>on</strong>cluded that <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> density of<br />

earthworms is not affected by <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> pesticides used in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> scenario for<br />

present producti<strong>on</strong> but is greatly affected by soil treatment, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> use of<br />

animal manure <strong>and</strong>, particularly, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> crop rotati<strong>on</strong>.<br />

Scenarier<br />

Scenarier med regnorme<br />

����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������<br />

Kløvergræs<br />

400<br />

����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������<br />

��������������������������<br />

��������������������������<br />

Gylle 110<br />

��������������������������<br />

������������������������<br />

������������������������<br />

Nul 99<br />

������������������������<br />

Nudrift<br />

���������������������<br />

���������������������<br />

88<br />

0 100 200 300 400<br />

Regnorme pr. kvadratmeter<br />

Figure 10.5<br />

Calculati<strong>on</strong>s of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> average density of earthworms in present producti<strong>on</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> 0-scenario. For comparis<strong>on</strong>, calculati<strong>on</strong>s are shown for <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

average density with use of pig manure <strong>and</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> density in clover grass<br />

<strong>on</strong>e year after reploughing.<br />

(Figure texts:<br />

Scenarier = Scenarios<br />

Scenarios with regnorme = Scenarios with earthworms<br />

Kløvergræs = Clover grass<br />

Gylle = Pig manure<br />

Nul = 0-scenario<br />

Nudrift = Present producti<strong>on</strong><br />

Regnorme pr. kvadratmeter = Earthworms per square metre)<br />

There are a number of characteristic bird species in Danish farml<strong>and</strong>.<br />

Their populati<strong>on</strong> development <strong>and</strong> distributi<strong>on</strong> in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> l<strong>and</strong>scape have<br />

been studied as an element of research <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> impact of pesticides <strong>on</strong><br />

nature <strong>and</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> envir<strong>on</strong>ment (Petersen, Jacobsen 1997). With this<br />

knowledge it is possible to carry out simple calculati<strong>on</strong>s of how <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> bird<br />

populati<strong>on</strong>s would develop in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> different scenarios for l<strong>and</strong> use <strong>and</strong><br />

pesticide use (Petersen, Jensen, 1998).<br />

There have been some studies that do not directly c<strong>on</strong>tain data that can<br />

be used for scenario analyses because <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>y cannot be generalised or have<br />

been collected in c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s that do not reflect present-day Danish<br />

agricultural c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s (Petersen, Jensen, 1998). The calculati<strong>on</strong> used is<br />

based <strong>on</strong> data <str<strong>on</strong>g>from</str<strong>on</strong>g> three years' counts of birds in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> breeding seas<strong>on</strong> at<br />

195

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