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THE 3DM CORPORATION<br />

INSIGHTS<br />

Contingency Planning 0 Operation plats prepared by component<br />

commands in the Pacific <strong>The</strong>ater and their<br />

principa, subordinate commands failed to<br />

appreciate and assess the true nature of the<br />

threat existing in Vietnam before 1955.<br />

0 OPLAN 32 was never implemented, altheugh it<br />

did provide a handy "rule of thumo" concerning<br />

the US logistic3l buildup in Vietnam.<br />

Onrn major reason for not implementing contingency<br />

plans as written was the wide variance<br />

between the anticipated conflict (as viewed<br />

by planners in the 1950s and early 1960s) and<br />

the insurgency-type conflict that trie United<br />

States actually found. Another major reason<br />

was emphasis by the president to play down<br />

the scale of US involvement in Indochina<br />

during the 1961-1965 time period.<br />

* Each situation rrcuiring a contingency plan<br />

is unique ind different from others which<br />

appear at first glance to te similar,<br />

LESSONS<br />

Clear and definitive national security policy<br />

guidance is essential for strategic planniro<br />

Once established, national security policy<br />

with regard to any one region should be<br />

frequently subjected to scrutiny and debate<br />

to assure that policy goals are consistent<br />

with actual external conditions and with<br />

domestic political realities,<br />

Contingency plans should not be shaped by -he<br />

"last war" but by the realities of the threat<br />

and US objectives in the area of the proposed<br />

contingency.<br />

Those who prepare contingency plans should be<br />

aware of possible domestic planning con-<br />

"straints and even the predispositions of top<br />

policy makers.<br />

EX-5

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