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THE BDM C09PORATION<br />

This chapter will outline the extent to which the negotiating process<br />

assisted or detracted from the attainment of US<br />

goals in Southeast Asia and<br />

Viet-amn <strong>The</strong> strengths and weaknesses exploited by tnc participating<br />

parties will be identified and analyzed within the conte:.t of the<br />

approaches taken in the negotiating process.<br />

Insights and lessons will 1be extracted from this analysis, and recommendations<br />

on how the US should approach and ccnduct negotiatiol's in the<br />

future will be developed.<br />

B. PHASED ANALYSIS OF NEGOTIATIONS<br />

'<br />

TU provide the desired perspective in this analysis, it was convenient<br />

to consider the negotiations in Vietnam in the following three phases:<br />

0 immediate post-WII through the Geneva Conference to 1951<br />

* the period 1961 to mid-1968<br />

the Paris Negotiations.<br />

1, Phase 1: Post-WWII to 1961<br />

US policy toward Southeast Asia during WWII was dictated by the<br />

expedient military strategy of concentrating its forces against the Japanese<br />

homeland and British intransigence on the colonial issue. <strong>The</strong> result<br />

was thac the US accepted Br-tish military primacy in Southeast Asia and<br />

concurred in the division of Indochina at the 16th parallel between the<br />

British and the Chinese for the purpose of occupation after the conflict<br />

had ended. 3/<br />

In September 1945, with British cooperation, the French reestablished<br />

themselves south of the 16th parallel.<br />

<strong>The</strong> return o- the French to<br />

the South was facilitated by the lack of firm control by the newly independent<br />

Vietnamese governinont over competing nationalist elements. At that<br />

time the situation in the North was different. <strong>The</strong> government of Ho Chi<br />

Minh had established itself ip power, but the Chinese were expected to<br />

arrive momentarily to exercise their occupational functions. <strong>The</strong> return of<br />

the French to the North became canditional on two counts.<br />

* there had to be an agreement whereby French troops would replace<br />

j- Chinese forces, and<br />

"]I<br />

7-2

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