Seattle University Collaborative Projects - International Academy of ...

deficiencies sufficiently important to indicate suspects' threat to society or dangerousness andwarrant a need for forensic treatment.Predicting the Need for Forensic Psychiatric and Psychological Mental HealthEvaluationJosé Buisman, Netherlands Institute of Forensic Psychiatry and Psychology(J.Buisman@dji.minjus.nl)Stefan Bogaerts, Tilburg University (s.ogaerts@uvt.nl)Wim van Kordelaar, Netherlands Institute of Forensic Psychiatry and Psychology(w.van.kordelaar@dji.minjus.nl)Thomas Rinne, Netherlands Institute of Forensic Psychiatry and Psychology(t.rinne@dji.minjus.nl)In 2005 a decision support model (BooG) was developed for predicting the need for a forensicpsychiatric and psychological assessment. In this longitudinal study we investigate the predictivevalidity of the decision support model. The prediction-model contains 12 indicators whichconcern the characteristics of the committed crime: severity, repetition, and behaviour of theaccused but also the juridical weighing of the crime – for instance, is enforced treatment apossibility? The independent variable in the development of this model is the decision of whethera prosecutor would order a forensic psychiatric and/or psychological mental health evaluation.Now – in a prospective view – we can investigate how good the prediction was. Therefore weapply the model, validated in 2009, to the 2004 sample with 4000 unique cases. In this samplewe collected data which shows whether a accused had a forensic psychiatric/psychological orclinical mental health evaluation in the years from 2004 until 2011. We then show the predictivevalidity by presenting the receiver operating characteristics (ROC). We also investigate if abetter prediction is possible by collecting data about recidivism, mental or personality disordersand verdicts.Pre-Trial Forensic Mental Health Evaluations among Juveniles: Quality andRecent DevelopmentsMaaike ten Berge, Netherlands Institute of Forensic Psychiatry and Psychology(M.ten.Berge@dji.minjus.nl)Nils Duits, Netherlands Institute of Forensic Psychiatry and Psychology(N.Duits@dji.minjus.nl)In the Netherlands, pre-trial forensic mental health evaluations (“pro Justitia” reports) play animportant role in the juvenile justice system. For example, the custodial measure “institutional303