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popper-logic-scientific-discovery

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probability 153<br />

begin with the segment of the first n elements of α. Next comes the<br />

segment of the elements 2 to n + 1 of α. In general, we take as the xth<br />

element of the new sequence the segment consisting of the elements x<br />

to x + n − 1 of α. The new sequence so obtained may be called the<br />

‘sequence of the overlapping n-segments of α’. This name indicates that<br />

any two consecutive elements (i.e. segments) of the new sequence<br />

overlap in such a way that they have n − 1 elements of the original<br />

sequence α in common.<br />

Now we can obtain, by selection, other n-sequences from a sequence<br />

of overlapping segments; especially sequences of adjoining n-segments.<br />

A sequence of adjoining n-segments contains only such n-segments<br />

as immediately follow each other in α without overlapping. It may<br />

begin, for example, with the n-segments of the elements numbered 1<br />

to n, of the original sequence α, followed by that of the elements n + 1<br />

to 2n, 2n + 1 to 3n, and so on. In general, a sequence of adjoining<br />

segments will begin with the kth element of α and its segments will<br />

contain the elements of α numbered k to n + k − 1, n + k to 2n + k − 1,<br />

2n + k to 3n + k − 1, and so on.<br />

In what follows, sequences of overlapping n-segments of α will be<br />

denoted by ‘α (n)’, and sequences of adjoining n-segments by ‘α n’.<br />

Let us now consider the sequences of overlapping segments α (n) a<br />

little more closely. Every element of such a sequence is an n-segment of<br />

α. As a primary property of an element of α (n), we might consider, for<br />

instance, the ordered n-tuple of zeros and ones of which the segment<br />

consists. Or we could, more simply, regard the number of its ones as the<br />

primary property of the element (disregarding the order of the ones and<br />

zeros). If we denote the number of ones by ‘m’ then, clearly, we have<br />

m � n.<br />

Now from every sequence α (n) we again get an alternative if we select<br />

a particular m (m � n), ascribing the property ‘m’ to each element of<br />

the sequence α (n) which has exactly m ones (and therefore n − m zeros)<br />

and the property ‘m¯ ’ (non-m) to all other elements of α (n). Every<br />

element of α (n) must then have one or the other of these two<br />

properties.<br />

Let us now imagine again that we are given a finite alternative α with<br />

the primary properties ‘1’ and ‘0’. Assume that the frequency of the<br />

ones, αF″ (1), is equal to p, and that the frequency of the zeros, αF″ (0),

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