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popper-logic-scientific-discovery

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interpretation according to which a and b are statements (or ‘propositions’,<br />

if you like). He says, rightly, ‘what the members of this set<br />

represent is of no importance’; but this remark is not sufficient to<br />

establish the formal character of the theory at which he aims; for in<br />

some interpretations, a and b have no members, nor anything that might<br />

correspond to members.<br />

All this has grave consequences in connection with the actual<br />

construction of the axiom system itself.<br />

Those who interpret the elements a and b as statements or propositions<br />

very naturally assume that the calculus of statement-composition<br />

(the propositional calculus) holds for these elements. Similarly,<br />

Kolmogorov assumes that the operations of addition, multiplication,<br />

and complementation of sets hold for his elements, since they are<br />

interpreted as sets.<br />

More concretely, it is always presupposed (often only tacitly), that<br />

such algebraic laws as the law of association<br />

(a)<br />

or the law of commutation<br />

(b)<br />

or the law of indempotence<br />

(c)<br />

(ab)c = a(bc)<br />

ab = ba<br />

a = aa<br />

hold for the elements of the system; that is to say, for the arguments of<br />

the function p( ..., ... ).<br />

Having made this assumption either tacitly or explicitly, a number of<br />

axioms or postulates are laid down for relative probability,<br />

p(a, b)<br />

that is to say for the probability of a, given the information b; or else for<br />

absolute probability,<br />

p(a)<br />

appendix *iv 331

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