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popper-logic-scientific-discovery

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appendix *iv 353<br />

(ii) An admissible system S is called a Borel field of probabilities if, and only<br />

if, there is in S a product-element of any (absolutely or relatively)<br />

decreasing sequence of elements of S.<br />

Of these two definitions, (i) corresponds precisely to Kolmogorov’s<br />

so-called ‘axiom of continuity’, while (ii) plays a part in our<br />

system analogous to Kolmogorov’s definition of Borel fields of<br />

probability.<br />

It can now be shown that whenever S is a Borel field of probabilities in<br />

Kolmogorov’s sense, it is also one in the sense here defined, with probability as a countably<br />

additive measure function of the sets which are the elements of S.<br />

The definitions of admissible systems and Borel fields of probabilities<br />

are framed in such a way that all systems S satisfying our<br />

postulates and containing only a finite number of different elements<br />

are admissible systems and Borel fields; accordingly, our definitions are<br />

interesting only in connection with systems S containing an infinite number<br />

of different elements. Such infinite systems may, or may not, satisfy the one<br />

or the other or both of our defining conditions; in other words, for<br />

infinite systems our defining conditions are non-redundant or<br />

independent.<br />

This non-redundancy can be proved for (i) most easily in that form<br />

of it which is mentioned in footnote 12, with the help of the example<br />

of the missing half-interval, S1, given above. All we have to do is to<br />

define probability p(x) as equal to l(x), that is to say, the length of the<br />

interval x. Our first definition, (i), is then violated since lim p(an) = 1 2<br />

while for the product-element (in S) of A, p(a) = 0. Definition (ii) is<br />

violated by our example S2 (which vacuously satisfies the first<br />

definition).<br />

While the first of these examples establishes the independence or<br />

more precisely the non-redundancy of our first definition—by violating<br />

it—it does not, as it stands, establish the independence of<br />

Kolmogorov’s ‘axiom of continuity’ which is clearly satisfied by our<br />

example. For the missing half-interval, h = (0, 1<br />

2], whether in S or not, is<br />

the only set-theoretic product of A, so that a = h is true for the settheorist,<br />

whether or not a is in S. And with a = h, we have<br />

lim p(an) = p(a). Thus Kolmogorov’s axiom is satisfied (even if we omit<br />

the condition p(ā, a) ≠ 0; cf. footnote 12).

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