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popper-logic-scientific-discovery

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A1 There are elements c and d in S such that p(a, b) ≠ p(c, d)<br />

(Existence)<br />

A2 If p(a, c) = p(b, c) for every c in S, then p(d, a) = p(d, b) for every d<br />

in S. (Substitutivity)<br />

A3 p(a, a) = p(b, b) (Reflexivity)<br />

Postulate 3. If a and b are in S, then ab is in S; and if, moreover, c is in S<br />

(and therefore also bc) then the following axioms hold:<br />

B1 p(ab, c) � p(a, c) (Monotony)<br />

B2 p(ab, c) = p(a, bc) p(b, c) (Multiplication)<br />

Postulate 4. If a is in S, then ā is in S; and if, moreover, b is in S, then the<br />

following axiom holds:<br />

C<br />

p(a, b) + p(ā, b) = p(b, b), unless p(b, b) = p(c, b) for every c<br />

in S. (Complementation).<br />

This concludes the ‘elementary’ system (‘elementary’ as opposed to<br />

its extension to Borel fields). We may, as indicated, add here the<br />

definition of absolute probability as a fifth postulate, called ‘Postulate AP’;<br />

alternatively, we may regard this as an explicit definition rather than as<br />

a postulate.<br />

Postulate AP. If a and b are in S, and if p(b, c) � p(c, b) for every c in S,<br />

then p(a) = p(a, b) (Definition of Absolute Probability 6 )<br />

The system of postulates and axioms given here will be shown<br />

below to be consistent and independent. 7<br />

6 AP is based on the theorem: If p(b, c) = 1, then p(a, bc) = p(a, c).<br />

7 An alternative system would be the following: the postulates are the same as in the text,<br />

and so are axioms A1 and A2, but the axioms A3 and B1 are replaced by<br />

A3′<br />

A4′<br />

B1′<br />

p(a, a) = 1<br />

p(a, b) � 0<br />

If p(ab, c) >p(a, c), then p(ab, c) >p(b, c)<br />

Axiom B2 remains as in the text, and axiom C is replaced by<br />

C′<br />

If p(a, b) ≠ 1, then p(c, b) + p(c¯, b) = 1<br />

appendix *iv 337

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