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popper-logic-scientific-discovery

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350<br />

new appendices<br />

B1 is violated because 2 = p(1.2, 1) > p(1, 1) = 1<br />

C is violated because p(2¯ , 1) + p(2, 1) = 2, though p(0, 1) ≠ p(1, 1)<br />

The fact that our system remains independent even if we postulate<br />

Boolean algebra and (*) may be expressed by saying that our system is<br />

‘autonomously independent’. If we replace our axiom B1 by A4′ and<br />

B1′ (see note 7 above), then our system ceases, of course, to be<br />

autonomously independent. Autonomous independence seems to me<br />

an interesting (and desirable) property of axiom systems for the<br />

calculus of probability.<br />

In conclusion I wish to give a definition, in the ‘autonomous’ i.e.<br />

probabilistic terms of our theory, of an ‘admissible system’ S, and of a<br />

‘Borel field of probabilities’ S. The latter term is Kolmogorov’s; but I am<br />

using it in a sense slightly wider than his. I will discuss the difference<br />

between Kolmogorov’s treatment of the subject and mine in some<br />

detail because it seems to me illuminating.<br />

I first define, in probabilistic terms, what I mean by saying that a is a<br />

super-element of b (and wider than, or equal to, b) or that b is a subelement<br />

of a (and <strong>logic</strong>ally stronger than, or equal to, a). The definition<br />

is as follows. (See also the end of appendix *v.)<br />

a is a super-element of b, or b is a sub-element of a—in symbols,<br />

a � b—if, and only if, p(a, x) � p(b, x) for every x in S.<br />

Next I define what I mean by the product-element a of an infinite<br />

sequence, A = a 1, a 2, ..., all of whose members a n are elements of S.<br />

Let some or perhaps all elements of S be ordered in an infinite sequence<br />

A = a 1, a 2, ..., such that any element of S is permitted to recur in the<br />

sequence. For example, let S consist only of the two elements, 0 and 1;<br />

then A = 0, 1, 0, 1, ..., and B = 0, 0, 0, ..., will both be infinite<br />

sequences of elements of S, in the sense here intended. But the more<br />

important case is of course that of an infinite sequence A such that<br />

all, or almost all, of its members are different elements of S which,<br />

accordingly, will contain infinitely many elements.<br />

A case of special interest is a decreasing (or rather non-increasing)<br />

infinite sequence, that is to say, a sequence A = a 1, a 2, ..., such that<br />

a n � a n + 1 for every consecutive pair of members of A.<br />

We can now define the (Boolean, as opposed to set-theoretical)<br />

product element a of the infinite sequence A = a 1, a 2, ..., as the widest

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