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popper-logic-scientific-discovery

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156<br />

some structural components of a theory of experience<br />

the following: ‘The nth element of the sequence α shall be 0 if, and<br />

only if, n is divisible by four’. This defines the infinite alternative<br />

(α)<br />

1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 . . .<br />

with the limits of the relative frequencies: αF′ (1) = 3/4; and αF′<br />

(0) = 1/4. Sequences which are defined in this way by means of a<br />

mathematical rule I shall call, for brevity, ‘mathematical sequences’.<br />

By contrast, a rule for constructing an empirical sequence would be, for<br />

instance: ‘The nth element of the sequence α shall be 0 if, and only if,<br />

the nth toss of the coin c shows tails.’ But empirical rules need not<br />

always define sequences of a random character. For example, I should<br />

describe the following rule as empirical: ‘The nth element of the<br />

sequence shall be 1 if, and only if, the nth second (counting from some<br />

zero instant) finds the pendulum p to the left of this mark.’<br />

The example shows that it may sometimes be possible to replace an<br />

empirical rule by a mathematical one—for example on the basis of<br />

certain hypotheses and measurements relating to some pendulum. In<br />

this way, we may find a mathematical sequence approximating to our<br />

empirical sequence with a degree of precision which may or may not<br />

satisfy us, according to our purposes. Of particular interest in our<br />

present context is the possibility (which our example could be used<br />

to establish) of obtaining a mathematical sequence whose various<br />

frequencies approximate to those of a certain empirical sequence.<br />

In dividing sequences into mathematical and empirical ones I am<br />

making use of a distinction that may be called ‘intensional’ rather than<br />

‘extensional’. For if we are given a sequence ‘extensionally’, i.e. by<br />

listing its elements singly, one after the other—so that we can only<br />

know a finite piece of it, a finite segment, however long—then it is<br />

impossible to determine, from the properties of this segment, whether<br />

the sequence of which it is a part is a mathematical or an empirical<br />

sequence. Only when a rule of construction is given—that is, an ‘intensional’<br />

rule—can we decide whether a sequence is mathematical or<br />

empirical.<br />

Since we wish to tackle our infinite sequences with the help of the<br />

concept of a limit (of relative frequencies), we must restrict our<br />

investigation to mathematical sequences, and indeed to those for

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