11.07.2015 Views

Revista del CEI - Centro de Economía Internacional

Revista del CEI - Centro de Economía Internacional

Revista del CEI - Centro de Economía Internacional

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

science and technology. The last estimates for 2006 confirm this assumption hinting at a 26% increase intax revenues, which substantially overtakes the nominal growth in GDP.Regarding the Fe<strong>de</strong>ral Budget execution, Australia has had surplus since 1996 to date, which allowed fora substantial reduction in government <strong>de</strong>bt (Table 4).This was not the case for Argentina, which has seen high levels of budgetary <strong>de</strong>ficit since then and until2001. Such <strong>de</strong>ficits were financed by means of increasing foreign public <strong>de</strong>bt. Consi<strong>de</strong>ring only the years2000 and 2001, fiscal imbalances of US$ 6,049 and US$ 10,729 million are found in the national budget.These amount to 2.1% and 4.0% of GDP, respectively, to which provincial budget imbalances of around2% of GDP should be ad<strong>de</strong>d. The greater risk arising from an important public <strong>de</strong>bt accumulation 3 gaverise to a <strong>de</strong>pletion of voluntary funding sources and, subsequently, to the suspension of payments by theCentral Administration, which en<strong>de</strong>d in the <strong>de</strong>bt crisis at the end of 2001.As a result of the economic policy change and the strong fiscal adjustment already mentioned, the budget<strong>de</strong>ficit plummeted dramatically to just US$ 618 million in 2002 and changed into a surplus of more than3% of GDP from 2003 onwards. The surplus thus obtained ma<strong>de</strong> it possible to reschedule the foreignpublic <strong>de</strong>bt, to start repaying the <strong>de</strong>bt service and increasing the investment component in the publicbudget.Table 4Australia and Argentina. Fe<strong>de</strong>ral Budget Executionmillion US dollarsAustraliaArgentinaYear Revenue Expenses Balance Revenue Expenses Balance2000 101,715 96,020 5,695 43,189 49,238 -6,0492001 84,285 83,508 777 37,176 47,905 -10,7292002 96,441 98,503 -2,062 14,403 15,021 -6182003 122,574 121,645 929 19,244 18,935 3092004 132,767 130,606 2,161 24,363 21,425 2,9382005 161,165 158,797 2,368 29,311 25,992 3,319Source: Reserve Bank of Australia and Public Budget Secretariat, Ministry of Economy and Production of Argentina.3. EmploymentAt the end of 2005, the Australian unemployment rate was 5.2%. In Argentina, counting welfare recipientsas employed workers, this rate was 10.1%. Excluding the latter, the rate was 12.7% of the workforce.Unemployment has <strong>de</strong>creased steadily in Australia since 1990-91, when it was 10.9%, a figure similar tothe current one for Argentina. A floating exchange rate, mo<strong>de</strong>rate interest and inflation rates, and threeyearemployment contracts facilitated the domestic economy’s adjustment to the variable conditions of theinternational economy, which has gone through subsequent crises over the past fifteen years. Theparticular case of Asia in 1997-98 is especially worthy of note, since it represents the natural market for3 It had to be calculated in foreign currency due to the currency board in place from 1991 until 2001, when there wasa peso-US dollar exchange parity.

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!