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Health Educators and the Future 57

we work. Technology will be central to health education of the future but the

emphasis will be technology for people, not in spite of people. User - friendly,

people - focused technology is the future.

5. Finally, we are undergoing a massive change in culture in our society. We are

literally looking different as a nation and the conventional majority values and

norms are being challenged as we become a more diverse, more ethnic, more

interesting culture. Health educators have long prided themselves with working

across cultures and being sensitive to individual differences. The cultural

changes that are in the works, however, are of a greater magnitude than any of us

have experienced previously.

I want to look a bit closer at all these themes of change — the forces propelling

us into the twenty - first century. We can begin with the last, the demographic changes

we are undergoing which will transform us into a new culture. Let me provide a few

statistics as a backdrop for discussing the trends I see occurring.

MINORITIES, AGING, NEW TYPES OF FAMILIES, AND ACTIVISM

Two numbers almost tell it all:

1. By the year 2000, 35 percent of school age children will be what we conventionally

have termed minority: African American, Latino, and Asian;

2. By the year 2000, one - fifth of the population will be over the age of 65.

These statistics deserve elaboration (see Gerber et al., 1989; Naisbitt & Aburdine,

1991; Miller, 1991). In 1985, 14.9 percent of all school children in America were

Black — by 2000 this figure will be 16 percent. In 1985, 9.6 percent of school age children

were Latino, by 2000 the number will be 16 percent. Fertility and immigration

patterns indicate that Latinos and Asian Americans are the fastest growing minority

groups in the country. By the year 2000, over 10 million people in the United States

will be of Asian descent, and in California they will be the number - two minority group,

exceeded only by Latinos.

The White non - Latino population is growing more slowly and is expected to have

decreased from 73 percent in 1985 to 66 percent by the year 2000. In some areas the

change is particularly vivid. In New York City, by 2005, 35 percent of the population

will be Latino. Whites and Blacks will represent 25 percent each. By 2025 over 40

percent of New York City residents will be Latino, and figures for California will be

similar. From these data it is clear that we are rapidly becoming a society where minorities

are the majority.

In the late 1980s, 30 million Americans were over 65, and that is 12 percent of

the population; by the year 2000 this group will be 20 percent. By 2025, people over

65 will outnumber teenagers two to one, and by 2030 one in every four people will be

65 years or older. By 2000, just around the corner, there will be five million Americans

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