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FortisBC Inc. (FortisBC) Application for a Certificate of Public ...

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<strong>FortisBC</strong> <strong>Inc</strong>. (<strong>FortisBC</strong> or the Company)<br />

<strong>Application</strong> <strong>for</strong> a <strong>Certificate</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Public</strong> Convenience and Necessity<br />

<strong>for</strong> the Advanced Metering Infrastructure Project<br />

Response to British Columbia Utilities Commission (BCUC or the Commission)<br />

In<strong>for</strong>mation Request (IR) No. 1<br />

Scenario Project NPV (000s)<br />

filed Net AMI (errata 1) $17,629<br />

Scenario 1 $17,258<br />

Scenario 2 $17,011<br />

Scenario 3 $15,641<br />

Scenario 4 $15,888<br />

Submission Date:<br />

October 5, 2012<br />

Page 136<br />

The analysis <strong>for</strong> each scenario was identical to the Net AMI analysis in Exhibit B-3 other than<br />

the changes in the New Operating Costs line described in each scenario.<br />

The Company considers Scenario 1 more likely than Scenario 2, but considers both less likely<br />

than the base inflation assumption <strong>of</strong> 1.8%.<br />

The Company considers 1.8% to be a conservative scenario, and notes that if in the overall<br />

NPV analysis the inflation assumption was changed to 3.0% (<strong>for</strong> all costs in both the AMI and<br />

Status Quo cases), the NPV benefit <strong>of</strong> the AMI project would increase to $26.688 million.<br />

Scenario 3 and 4, which provide <strong>for</strong> new operating costs starting in 2013, are unlikely since<br />

operation <strong>of</strong> the proposed AMI project will not commence in 2013.<br />

The supporting NPV analyses are provided as Attachment BCUC IR1 58.2.

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