FortisBC Inc. (FortisBC) Application for a Certificate of Public ...

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Response:
FortisBC Inc. (FortisBC or the Company)
Application for a Certificate of Public Convenience and Necessity
for the Advanced Metering Infrastructure Project
Response to British Columbia Utilities Commission (BCUC or the Commission)
Information Request (IR) No. 1
Submission Date:
October 5, 2012
Page 168
76.1.1 For each year between 2013 and 2032, please identify the estimated total
system losses and estimated system losses due to theft included in the
revenue requirement.
The estimated system losses and the portion attributed to electric theft in both the Status Quo
and AMI scenarios is presented in the table below.
Table BCUC IR1 Q76.1.1
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Reported Estimated System Losses(MWhs) 320,512 326,788 332,545 336,688 340,846 345,539 350,086
Status Quo Scenario
Total estimated theft sites 218 231 244 257 270 276 281
Annual Estimated losses per site(kWhs) 151,200 151,200 151,200 151,200 151,200 151,200 151,200
System Losses due to Theft (MWhs) 33,032 34,939 36,884 38,869 40,893 41,710 42,545
AMI Probable Scenario
Total estimated theft sites 206 191 177 158 137 106 82
Annual Estimated losses per site(kWhs) 151,200 151,200 151,200 151,200 151,200 151,200 151,200
System Losses due to Theft (MWhs) 31,162 28,919 26,836 23,938 20,707 16,048 12,437
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Reported Estimated System Losses(MWhs) 354,687 359,574 364,470 369,158 374,079 378,976 383,850
Status Quo Scenario
Total estimated theft sites 287 293 299 305 311 317 323
Annual Estimated losses per site(kWhs) 151,200 151,200 151,200 151,200 151,200 151,200 151,200
System Losses due to Theft (MWhs) 43,395 44,263 45,149 46,052 46,973 47,912 48,870
AMI Probable Scenario
Total estimated theft sites 64 49 45 46 46 46 47
Annual Estimated losses per site(kWhs) 151,200 151,200 151,200 151,200 151,200 151,200 151,200
System Losses due to Theft (MWhs) 9,639 7,470 6,816 6,885 6,953 7,023 7,093
2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032
Reported Estimated System Losses(MWhs) 388,819 393,737 398,777 403,772 408,351 413,175
Status Quo Scenario
Total estimated theft sites 330 336 343 350 357 364
Annual Estimated losses per site(kWhs) 151,200 151,200 151,200 151,200 151,200 151,200
System Losses due to Theft (MWhs) 49,848 50,845 51,862 52,899 53,957 55,036
AMI Probable Scenario
Total estimated theft sites 47 48 48 49 49 50
Annual Estimated losses per site(kWhs) 151,200 151,200 151,200 151,200 151,200 151,200
System Losses due to Theft (MWhs) 7,164 7,236 7,308 7,381 7,455 7,529