Health Risks of Ionizing Radiation: - Clark University
Health Risks of Ionizing Radiation: - Clark University
Health Risks of Ionizing Radiation: - Clark University
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preconception doses between 2.5 and 10 mSv<br />
(OR 2.8, 1.0-7.6), although this was not part <strong>of</strong> a<br />
detectable dose-response trend (Doyle et al. 2000).<br />
In one result that almost certainly has a lot to do<br />
with chance, LNHL risk appeared 8 times higher<br />
with paternal preconception exposure to less than<br />
0.1 mSv in the UK case-control study (RR 8.17,<br />
1.18 - ∞) based on 6 cases and 0 controls in that<br />
dose range (Draper et al. 1997). These findings are<br />
remarkable but they are also persistent; most <strong>of</strong><br />
the exposed workers in these studies had received<br />
<strong>of</strong>ficially reported doses <strong>of</strong> less than 100 mSv before<br />
conception <strong>of</strong> their children 11 .<br />
Studies <strong>of</strong> the children <strong>of</strong> atomic bomb survivors<br />
have not produced significant findings, occasionally<br />
leading to claims that there is no transgenerational<br />
effect in this cohort. It may be the case, however,<br />
that this cohort cannot provide sufficient evidence<br />
to make claims in either direction. Based on the<br />
information reviewed in this chapter it seems<br />
reasonable to consider that the exposure <strong>of</strong> the<br />
father in the months leading up to conception may<br />
be the critical exposure for transgenerational effects.<br />
If this is the case then we should look carefully at<br />
the atomic bomb survivor data. Yoshimoto (1990)<br />
reported that there were 17 childhood leukemia cases<br />
Preconception Exposures 123<br />
(diagnosed at age 100 mSv; Roman et al. (1999) give a RR <strong>of</strong> 7.7 for doses ≥ 10 mSv in the 6 months before conception;<br />
and according to the dose-response coefficient (RR)<strong>of</strong> 1.6 per 100 mSv (Dickinson and Parker 2002a) a mean<br />
dose <strong>of</strong> 435 mSv would give a RR <strong>of</strong> (1.6 4.35 = 7.7). If the exposed cohort <strong>of</strong> 31,150 individuals is restricted to the<br />
2% that were conceived within 6 months <strong>of</strong> the bombing and further restricted by the assumption that half <strong>of</strong> the<br />
exposed parents were men then we are left with 312 individuals. In this case we should expect 0.17 spontaneous<br />
cases <strong>of</strong> childhood leukemia and, according to the risk estimates mentioned above, about 1 case <strong>of</strong> radiation-induced<br />
leukemia. Given the random nature <strong>of</strong> carcinogenesis it would be virtually impossible to recognize this effect in this<br />
cohort.