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Health Risks of Ionizing Radiation: - Clark University

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elationship was not significant for the whole cohort<br />

but it was significant for the subjects younger than<br />

30 at exposure using internal controls; the ERR for<br />

this group was 8.65 (0.81-11.47) 8 . In all cases (male<br />

or female, internal or external controls) the ERR<br />

estimate declined with age. The results <strong>of</strong> this study<br />

are suggestive <strong>of</strong> some effect but they are not clear<br />

and they contrast with the conventionally held view<br />

that radiation exposure in adulthood is unlikely to<br />

lead to cancer.<br />

The rate <strong>of</strong> thyroid cancer has clearly increased,<br />

and it may also be the case that these radiationinduced<br />

cancers are different than background<br />

thyroid cancers. Ukrainian surgeon S. J. Rybakov<br />

and colleagues (2000) operated on over 339<br />

children between 1981 and 1998, 330 <strong>of</strong> these after<br />

the Chernobyl accident. They report that cancers<br />

in children who had been exposed to high levels <strong>of</strong><br />

radiation were more extensive, more highly invasive,<br />

and more likely to be accompanied by nodal<br />

metastases. Similar findings had been reported by<br />

Pacini et al. in 1997. They found that post-Chernobyl<br />

thyroid cancers in Belarus were more likely to affect<br />

younger subjects, were less influenced by gender,<br />

were more aggressive, and were more frequently<br />

associated with autoimmunity when compared to<br />

naturally occurring cancers in Italy and France.<br />

Several studies have investigated thyroid cancer<br />

rates outside <strong>of</strong> the immediate vicinity <strong>of</strong> Chernobyl.<br />

Cotterill et al. (2001) studied northern England<br />

and found that there was an increase in incidence<br />

immediately following the Chernobyl accident.<br />

The excess in Cumbria, the region receiving the<br />

heaviest fallout in England, was particularly high<br />

(rate ratio <strong>of</strong> 12.2, 1.5-101, comparing 1968-1986<br />

to 1987-1997), but this was based on 1 case before<br />

the accident and 6 cases after the accident 9 . A study<br />

<strong>of</strong> Turkish children did not find any cancers in<br />

exposed or unexposed regions (Emral et al. 2003).<br />

A French risk assessment dealt with children in<br />

eastern France where thyroid doses ranged from<br />

1-10 mSv; these are ~100 times lower than doses<br />

in exposed areas <strong>of</strong> Belarus and are comparable to<br />

average background radiation doses (Verger et al.<br />

Nuclear Power Accidents 135<br />

2003). This was not an epidemiological study but it<br />

did present dose estimates and is worth considering<br />

as a reference point. These authors concluded that a<br />

small excess <strong>of</strong> thyroid cancer, 1-20 cases, may have<br />

been caused by the Chernobyl accident. Tukiendorf<br />

et al. (2003) compared thyroid cancer incidence in<br />

Opole province, Poland (1994-1998) to levels <strong>of</strong><br />

cesium isotopes on the ground. Deposited cesium in<br />

fallout decays slowly and can therefore be used as a<br />

rough guide to the pattern <strong>of</strong> iodine deposition that<br />

occurred immediately after the accident. Thyroid<br />

cancer proportional mortality rates (thyroid cancer<br />

mortality as a fraction <strong>of</strong> total cancer mortality)<br />

were correlated with cesium deposition for females<br />

(94 cases) but not for males (27 cases) 10 . Increased<br />

levels <strong>of</strong> radiation were detected as far away as<br />

Connecticut, where one researcher noted that<br />

childhood and adult thyroid cancer incidence had<br />

increased 4-7 years after the accident (Mangano et<br />

al. 1996).<br />

11.2.4 Childhood leukemia<br />

Leukemia rates following Chernobyl appear to have<br />

increased, and like thyroid cancer this effect is seen in<br />

children. Exposure at young ages, including prenatal<br />

exposure, has been investigated to determine the<br />

influence <strong>of</strong> age at exposure and dose.<br />

Petridou et al. (1996) compared leukemia rates<br />

in Greek children who were born in 1986-1987 (in<br />

utero at the time <strong>of</strong> the accident) to rates in children<br />

born 1980-1985 and 1988-1990. Leukemia in the<br />

first year <strong>of</strong> life was more than twice as likely in<br />

the exposed (in utero) group (rate ratio 2.6, 1.4-<br />

5.1) 11 . Infant leukemia rates for the in utero cohort<br />

were also shown to increase with surface soil<br />

measurements <strong>of</strong> fallout radioactivity. Michaelis et<br />

al. (1997) used the same time windows to study in<br />

utero exposure in Germany and found a rate ratio <strong>of</strong><br />

1.48 (1.02-2.15) but did not find a correlation with<br />

ground deposition <strong>of</strong> Cs-137. A study <strong>of</strong> childhood<br />

leukemia across Europe (the European Childhood<br />

Leukemia-Lymphoma Incidence Study, ECLIS)<br />

found that childhood leukemia risk was related to<br />

8 Using external controls (Russian rates) the ERR estimate for this group was 0.74 (-2.69-4.21).<br />

9 The rate ratio was 12.2 (1.5-101) comparing 1968-1986 to 1987-1997.<br />

10 It was unclear what the ages <strong>of</strong> exposure or diagnosis were in this study.<br />

11 Leuekemia rates were also observed for ages 1-4 but no effect was seen (Petridou et al. 1996).

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