to read the full report - Ecolateral by Peter Jones
to read the full report - Ecolateral by Peter Jones
to read the full report - Ecolateral by Peter Jones
Create successful ePaper yourself
Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.
44<br />
Evaluation of Opportunities for Converting Indigenous UK Wastes <strong>to</strong> Wastes and Energy<br />
AEA/ED45551/Issue 1<br />
Table 17 Waste arisings (‘000,000 <strong>to</strong>nnes) in <strong>the</strong> UK<br />
Year England Wales Scotland 46 Nor<strong>the</strong>rn<br />
Ireland<br />
Total<br />
MSW 28.5 47 1.8 48 3.0 1.1 49 34.4<br />
C&I waste 67.9 50 5.3 51 7.8 1.6 52 82.6<br />
C&D waste 89.6 53 12.2 54 11.8 5.0 55 118.6<br />
Total 186.0 19.3 22.6 7.7 235.6<br />
Using <strong>the</strong> prediction figures discussed in preceding sections, Table 18 shows <strong>the</strong> estimated arisings of<br />
municipal solid waste, commercial waste, industrial waste and construction and demolition waste in 2010,<br />
2015 and 2020. These have been produced using <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>nnage arisings shown in Table 18 (assuming a<br />
baseline year of 2005) and <strong>the</strong> average growth rates for each of <strong>the</strong>se waste streams determined in this<br />
section of <strong>the</strong> <strong>report</strong>: MSW growth at 0.75%, Commercial waste at 1%, Industrial waste at 0% and C&I<br />
waste at 0%. The <strong>to</strong>tal arisings of <strong>the</strong>se waste streams in <strong>the</strong> UK is estimated <strong>to</strong> rise from 236 million<br />
<strong>to</strong>nnes in 2005 <strong>to</strong> 246 million <strong>to</strong>nnes in 2020 due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> growth in <strong>the</strong> arisings of both municipal solid<br />
waste and commercial waste.<br />
Table 18: Estimated future UK waste arisings (‘000,000 <strong>to</strong>nnes)<br />
Year<br />
2005 2010 2015 2020<br />
Municipal Solid Waste 34 36 37 38<br />
Commercial Waste 37 39 41 43<br />
Industrial Waste 45 45 45 45<br />
Construction and Demolition Waste 119 119 119 119<br />
Total 236 239 242 246<br />
The projections of future arisings shown in Table 18 have not considered <strong>the</strong> potential impacts <strong>the</strong> current<br />
economic situation may have on future waste arisings. The arisings of some waste streams could reduce<br />
over <strong>the</strong> next few years due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> following fac<strong>to</strong>rs:<br />
• Municipal solid waste - Reduction in MSW growth rate due <strong>to</strong> fewer houses being built,<br />
<strong>to</strong>ge<strong>the</strong>r with continuing waste reduction activities and less spending per household<br />
• Commercial waste - Reduction in C&I growth rate, and this could become negative as <strong>the</strong><br />
number of commercial businesses reduces (<strong>the</strong> financial situation is anticipated <strong>to</strong> have more<br />
impact on <strong>the</strong> commercial sec<strong>to</strong>r than <strong>the</strong> industrial sec<strong>to</strong>r due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> reduction in <strong>the</strong> number<br />
of jobs in <strong>the</strong> retail and banking sec<strong>to</strong>rs).<br />
• Construction and demolition waste – reduction in number of buildings being demolished <strong>to</strong><br />
start new construction/development projects.<br />
Waste arisings for all of <strong>the</strong>se streams could fall over <strong>the</strong> next few years, but should begin <strong>to</strong> increase<br />
again as economic recovery occurs.<br />
46<br />
Waste Data Digest 8: Key facts and trends. Scottish Environmental Protection Agency, 2008<br />
47<br />
Defra - http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/statistics/wastats/bulletin08.htm<br />
48<br />
Municipal Waste Management Report for Wales, 2007-08. Statistics for Wales, Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2008<br />
49<br />
Municipal Waste Management Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Ireland 2005/06 Summary Report, December 2006<br />
50<br />
Environment Agency 2006 – Strategic Waste Management Assessment 2002/03<br />
51<br />
Environment Agency Wales, http://www.environment-agency.gov.uk/aboutus/organisation/35675.aspx<br />
52<br />
Commercial & Industrial Waste Arisings Survey 2004/05. Environment & Heritage Service, March 2007<br />
53<br />
Survey of Arisings and Use of Alternatives <strong>to</strong> Primary Aggregates in England, 2005; Construction, Demolition and Excavation Waste. Report for<br />
Department for Communities and Local Government <strong>by</strong> Capita Symonds Ltd, in association with WRc plc, February 2008<br />
54<br />
Survey on <strong>the</strong> arising and management of construction and demolition waste in<br />
Wales in 2005-06. Environment agency Wales<br />
55<br />
Construction and demolition waste survey. Environment and Heritage Service (EHS), 2004