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Evaluation of Opportunities for Converting Indigenous UK Wastes <strong>to</strong> Wastes and Energy<br />

AEA/ED45551/Issue 1<br />

• Arboricultural forecast<br />

Although operationally available arboricultural arisings cannot be forecast with any certainty, it is<br />

estimated that it is unlikely <strong>to</strong> change dramatically. However, it is expected that arboricultural<br />

arisings will increase. This can be found in more detail Appendix 1.<br />

4.6.6 Conclusions for Forestry Residues<br />

The UK has considerable natural wood resource, one that is not <strong>full</strong>y exploited at <strong>the</strong> moment and thus<br />

<strong>the</strong>re is considerable room for use of this material in future energy solutions. However, traditional and<br />

existing markets must be borne in mind, as must market conditions that will affect <strong>the</strong> cost of such a<br />

resource. In addition <strong>the</strong> environmental implications of removing significantly more natural wood arisings<br />

from land, and <strong>the</strong> impact this may have on future land quality and embedded carbon need fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />

assessment.<br />

The figures discussed here are <strong>the</strong> maximum practicable resource. For such quantities <strong>to</strong> be available a<br />

market for <strong>the</strong> product must exist and funding or incentives would be needed <strong>to</strong> set up <strong>the</strong> equipment and<br />

s<strong>to</strong>rage necessary. Currently <strong>the</strong>re are limited supply chain connections, thus this quantity of wood could<br />

not be brought <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> market in a short timeframe.<br />

The availability and feasibility of using wood based fuels is dependent on <strong>the</strong> policy framework. One such<br />

recent example of <strong>the</strong> Woodfuel Strategy for England (2006) has a target <strong>to</strong> bring an additional 2 million<br />

<strong>to</strong>nnes of woodfuel <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> market, annually <strong>by</strong> 2020 from forestry residues supported <strong>by</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r sources<br />

such as arboricultural arisings and recovered wood. All <strong>the</strong> wood resource described above is clean,<br />

untreated wood, and is <strong>the</strong>refore eligible as biomass fuels under <strong>the</strong> current legislation, and are exempt<br />

from <strong>the</strong> Waste Incineration Directive.<br />

4.7 Conclusions<br />

Waste, both controlled wastes and biological residues, represents a massive potential resource in <strong>the</strong> UK.<br />

Although significant amounts of such materials are al<strong>read</strong>y recycled, especially from MSW waste<br />

streams, or recycled on<strong>to</strong> land, as with many agricultural residues, a considerable amount of waste still<br />

exists and disposing of it is a challenge.<br />

Much of <strong>the</strong> residual waste that is disposed of through incineration or <strong>to</strong> landfill could potentially be more<br />

efficiently utilised, and may be a feeds<strong>to</strong>ck for <strong>the</strong> generation of energy or transport fuels.<br />

Summary of Waste Arisings<br />

• Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) is comprised of a very large range of materials, and <strong>to</strong>tal waste<br />

arisings are increasing. Data quality is good, and in 2007/08 <strong>the</strong> UK MSW arisings were 344<br />

million <strong>to</strong>nnes. Even if <strong>the</strong> level produced <strong>by</strong> each household were <strong>to</strong> remain constant, <strong>the</strong><br />

increasing number of households will result in increasing arisings. Recycling initiatives decrease<br />

<strong>the</strong> proportion of waste going straight for disposal, and <strong>the</strong> level of recycling is increasing each<br />

year. Most growth forecasts use a growth rate of 0.75% per annum.<br />

• Commercial and Industrial waste (C&I) is also comprised of a very large range of materials, with<br />

levels at 83 million <strong>to</strong>nnes in 2002/03. Overall levels of industrial waste are decreasing, while<br />

levels of commercial wastes are increasing. Again, recycling initiatives decrease <strong>the</strong> proportion<br />

of waste going straight for disposal, and <strong>the</strong> level of recycling is increasing each year, although in<br />

general recycling is not as advanced as for MSW. Growth rates have been taken as 1% per<br />

annum for commercial waste, and 0% per annum for industrial waste.<br />

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