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Annals of the University “Constantin Brâncuşi”of Tg-Jiu, No. 1/2008, Volume 2,<br />

ISSN: 1842-4856<br />

Figure 1. The prevision of the tourists arrivals number<br />

The prevision of tourist arrivals number, on types of touristic units, for 2006 is being<br />

made for this indicator, too, based on the application of the Markov chains method.<br />

The repartition of the number of arrived tourists on types of tourist accommodation<br />

structures constituted the base of their structure determination (table 2):<br />

Table 2 – The structure of the tourists arrivals on the main types of units existent in the Bârsa<br />

Country<br />

Unit types<br />

Structure of tourist arrivals (%)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005<br />

Hotels 80,59 77,85 77,77 74,66 74,56 68,99 61,61 62,73<br />

Motels and inns 0,82 1,02 1,09 0,81 1,26 4,25 5,39 6,04<br />

Villas 3,66 4,92 4,72 4,53 3,93 4,43 6,13 6,92<br />

Chalets 6,90 6,14 5,93 5,03 4,52 3,19 3,19 2,56<br />

Camps 3,26 3,89 3,94 3,59 1,95 1,37 0,86 0,46<br />

Pensions 0,62 0,64 1,79 2,79 4,30 9,37 14,26 10,75<br />

Farms 0,32 0,30 1,10 2,43 4,46 4,30 4,89 4,81<br />

Other types 3,84 5,25 3,66 6,16 5,02 4,11 3,67 5,73<br />

<strong>TOTAL</strong> 100,00 100,00 100,00 100,00 100,00 100,00 100,00 100,00<br />

The establishing of the structure of tourists arrivals number, on types of touristic units<br />

between 1998-2005 permits first of all the calculation of transition matrixes, the obtained<br />

results being this way:<br />

‣ in 1999 comparing to 1998 the number of tourists arrivals in the Bârsa Country<br />

registered an increase of 1,41% at the category “other types” and of 1,26% at villas, and also<br />

for camps (0,62%), motels-inns (0,21%) and pensions (0,02%); in compensation the decrease<br />

established were 0,02% for pensions, 0,76% for chalets and 2,74% for hotels;<br />

‣ the highest percent increase of the tourists arrivals number in the Bârsa Country, in<br />

2000 comparing to 1999, has been established for pensions being of 1,15%, while for farms,<br />

motels-inns and camps the increase was more little, of only 0,8%, 0,07%, respectively 0,06%;<br />

the decreases of the other types of follow the same tendency in the sense that, the highest<br />

decrease (1,59%) is registered only for the category “other types”, and the other three<br />

categories having small decreases of only 0,21% (chalets), 0,2% (villas) and 0,08% (hotels);<br />

‣ comparing the number of the tourist arrivals in the Bârsa Country at the level of<br />

2001 comparing to 2002, one can notice a percent increase for the category “other types” with<br />

2,5%, for farms with 1,33% and for pensions with 1%, in the conditions where the weight of<br />

the tourists arrived in the hotels decreased with 3%, in camps with 0,35%, in motels-inns with<br />

0,28%, in chalets with 0,9%, and in villas with 0,19%;<br />

‣ the increase of the number of tourists in the Bârsa Country at the level of ranches<br />

and pensions is registered in 2002 compared to 2001, but in percentages of 2,03% and 1,51 %<br />

to which the category motels-inns is added with only 0,45%; at the level of the present years,<br />

one can notice the tendency of decreasing the percentages of the number of tourists arrivals,<br />

the same as for the previous years regarding the camps with 1, 64,% villas with 0,6%, chalets<br />

with 0,51% and hotels with 0,1%. Beside these units there is still the category ”other types”<br />

for which there is a decrease of the percentage of the tourists with 1,14%;<br />

‣ at the level of the year 2003, compared with 2002, the pensions, the category<br />

motels–inns and villas faced an increase of the coming of tourists with 5,07%, 2, 99%<br />

respectively 0,5% compared to the other categories which faced decreases in the number of<br />

tourists in the following way: 5,57 for the hotels, 1,33 for chalets, 0,91% for the category<br />

„other types”, 0,9% camps and 0,16% ranches.<br />

250

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