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OCTOBER 19-20, 2012 - YMCA University of Science & Technology

OCTOBER 19-20, 2012 - YMCA University of Science & Technology

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Proceedings <strong>of</strong> the National Conference on<br />

Trends and Advances in Mechanical Engineering,<br />

<strong>YMCA</strong> <strong>University</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Science</strong> & <strong>Technology</strong>, Faridabad, Haryana, Oct <strong>19</strong>-<strong>20</strong>, <strong>20</strong>12<br />

Kalogirou et al. [11] applied Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to estimate the useful energy extracted and the<br />

temperature rise in the stored water <strong>of</strong> Solar Domestic Heating Water System (SDHWS). The data from 33 sets<br />

were randomly selected. 30 sets were used for training and testing and the remaining 3 were randomly selected<br />

for validation <strong>of</strong> model. The input data included was collector area (from 1.81 m 2 to 4.38 m 2 ), storage tank heat<br />

loss coefficient (U-value), tank type, total daily solar radiation, mean ambient air temperature, storage volume,<br />

water temperature in storage tank and type <strong>of</strong> system. A multilayer feed forward neural network consists <strong>of</strong> an<br />

input layer (2 neurons), some hidden layers (8 neurons) and an output layer (2 neurons). The results for the<br />

useful energy extracted from the system and temperature rise in stored water was 0.9722 and 0.9751 respectively.<br />

The ANN method can use at different weather conditions and for completely unknown systems. The results<br />

obtained within 7.1 % and 9.7 %. Its performance can be improved by knowing collector performance<br />

characteristics.<br />

Kalogirou et al. [12] estimated useful energy extracted from the thermosyphon solar water system and the stored<br />

water temperature rise. For this an ANN network has been trained to handle a number <strong>of</strong> unusual cases using<br />

performance data for four types <strong>of</strong> systems, with same collector panel and varying weather conditions. The result<br />

obtained maximum deviations <strong>of</strong> 1 MJ and 2.2 o C using random data for both with performance equations<br />

developed from the experimental measurements and with the artificial neural network. The predicted values<br />

enlightened the effectiveness <strong>of</strong> the proposed ANN method for the estimation <strong>of</strong> the performance <strong>of</strong> the<br />

particular thermosyphon solar water system in any <strong>of</strong> the configurations considered in this study. 30<br />

thermosyphon solar domestic water-heating systems have been tested and modeled as per the procedures<br />

outlined in the standard ISO 9459-2, for three different locations in Greece [13].<br />

Out <strong>of</strong> these, data <strong>of</strong> 27 systems were used for training and testing the network and data <strong>of</strong> remaining 3 have<br />

been used for validation. Two networks were trained for solar energy output estimation first for storage-tank<br />

capacity and another for the system and the average quantity <strong>of</strong> hot water required per month at desired<br />

temperatures <strong>of</strong> 35 and 40 o C. The R 2 -value set was: for first network was equal to 0.9993 and for second were<br />

equal to 0.9848 and 0.9926 for the two output parameters for the training data [13].<br />

A similar type <strong>of</strong> approach has been adopted for predicting the long-term performance <strong>of</strong> three forcedcirculation-type<br />

solar domestic water-heating systems [14]. The maximum percentage differences <strong>of</strong> 1.9 and<br />

5.5% have been obtained for the two networks, when unknown data have been used, respectively.<br />

B. Solar Radiation Estimation<br />

ANNs applied to predict global solar radiation in the areas that were not covered by direct measurement<br />

instrumentation [15]. In this study, input data considered for the network are such as: the location, month, mean<br />

temperature, mean relative humidity, mean pressure, mean vapor pressure, mean wind speed and sunshine<br />

duration. An ANN model proposed by Mubriu et al. [16] efficiently used to estimate monthly average daily<br />

global solar radiation on a horizontal surface. They used data obtained from three different sites for training a<br />

neural network and formulating an empirical model and one site for checking the ANN and Empirical models. In<br />

this study a feed-forward back propagation neural network with on hidden layer consisting <strong>of</strong> 15 neurons with<br />

tangent sigmoid as the transfer function was used. The input data included was sunshine hours, cloud cover,<br />

maximum temperature together with latitude, altitude and longitude <strong>of</strong> location. The maximum temperature and<br />

cloud cover data was obtained from Uganda Meteorological Department from <strong>19</strong>93 to <strong>20</strong>05. The result shows<br />

that the mean bias error (MBE) <strong>of</strong> 0.059 MJ/m 2 and root mean square error (RMSE) <strong>of</strong> 0.385 MJ/m 2 . Due to the<br />

ability <strong>of</strong> reliably capturing non linearity nature <strong>of</strong> solar radiation, the developed ANN model proved to be<br />

superior over empirical model. Global solar irradiation can be estimated from different ANN models [15-23] and<br />

the results are compared for the correlation coefficients and the absolute percentage error for these different<br />

models are shown in Table II.<br />

Table 2:Comparison <strong>of</strong> global solar radiation model for correlation coefficients and the absolute percentage<br />

error<br />

Root<br />

S.<br />

Model by<br />

Mean Correlation<br />

No<br />

Year<br />

author<br />

Absolute coefficient<br />

.<br />

Error<br />

1<br />

Alwai and<br />

Hinai [15]<br />

<strong>19</strong>98 7.3 0.989<br />

2<br />

Mihalakakou<br />

et al. [17]<br />

<strong>20</strong>00 0.2 0.96<br />

3 Sozen et al. <strong>20</strong>04 6.7 0.99<br />

<strong>19</strong>0

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