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OCTOBER 19-20, 2012 - YMCA University of Science & Technology

OCTOBER 19-20, 2012 - YMCA University of Science & Technology

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Proceedings <strong>of</strong> the National Conference on<br />

Trends and Advances in Mechanical Engineering,<br />

<strong>YMCA</strong> <strong>University</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Science</strong> & <strong>Technology</strong>, Faridabad, Haryana, Oct <strong>19</strong>-<strong>20</strong>, <strong>20</strong>12<br />

Protocol states, "The Montreal Protocol is working: There is clear evidence <strong>of</strong> a decrease in the atmospheric<br />

burden <strong>of</strong> ozone-depleting substances and some early signs <strong>of</strong> stratospheric ozone recovery." [17]<br />

Effect<br />

Unfortunately, the hydrochlor<strong>of</strong>luorocarbons, or HCFCs, and hydr<strong>of</strong>luorocarbons, or HFCs, are now thought to<br />

contribute to anthropogenic global warming. On a molecule-for-molecule basis, these compounds are up to<br />

10,000 times more potent greenhouse gases than carbon dioxide. The Montreal Protocol currently calls for a<br />

complete phase-out <strong>of</strong> HCFCs by <strong>20</strong>30, but does not place any restriction on HFCs. Since the CFCs themselves<br />

are equally powerful greenhouse gases, the mere substitution <strong>of</strong> HFCs for CFCs does not significantly increase<br />

the rate <strong>of</strong> anthropogenic global warming, but over time a steady increase in their use could increase the danger<br />

that human activity will change the climate. [18]<br />

Policy experts have advocated for increased efforts to link ozone protection efforts to climate protection<br />

efforts. [<strong>19</strong>][<strong>20</strong>][21] Policy decisions in one arena affect the costs and effectiveness <strong>of</strong> environmental improvements<br />

in the other.<br />

Benefits <strong>of</strong> the CFC Phase-out<br />

The CFC phase-out is already producing benefits for the environment, businesses, and individuals.<br />

First, it can protect the Ozone Layer. The chlor<strong>of</strong>luorocarbon (CFC) phase-out is an important turning point in<br />

the recovery <strong>of</strong> the ozone layer. Currently, we are experiencing depletion <strong>of</strong> approximately 5 percent at mid-<br />

latitudes, but if no action had been taken to limit CFCs, ozone depletion at mid-latitudes would eventually have<br />

reached <strong>20</strong> percent or more. Because <strong>of</strong> the phase-out, CFCs are no longer accumulating in the atmosphere at an<br />

accelerating rate. Scientists predict that maximum CFC levels will occur before the turn <strong>of</strong> the century. If<br />

international agreements are adhered to, the ozone layer is expected to recover around <strong>20</strong>50.<br />

Second, it can reduce Health Risks. The phase-out <strong>of</strong> CFCs is expected to have direct health benefits over the<br />

next century, including reduced incidence <strong>of</strong> skin cancer and cataracts, decreased risks to human immune<br />

systems, and increased protection <strong>of</strong> plant and animal life from excessive UV exposure. A United Nations<br />

Environment Programme (UNEP) study shows that a sustained 1 percent decrease in stratospheric ozone will<br />

result in about a 2 percent increase in the incidence <strong>of</strong> non-melanoma skin cancer, which can be fatal. With the<br />

successful phase-out <strong>of</strong> CFCs, however, EPA expects 295 million fewer cases <strong>of</strong> this form <strong>of</strong> skin cancer over<br />

the next century.<br />

236

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