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OCTOBER 19-20, 2012 - YMCA University of Science & Technology

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Proceedings <strong>of</strong> the National Conference on<br />

Trends and Advances in Mechanical Engineering,<br />

<strong>YMCA</strong> <strong>University</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Science</strong> & <strong>Technology</strong>, Faridabad, Haryana, Oct <strong>19</strong>-<strong>20</strong>, <strong>20</strong>12<br />

There are two ways to decompose aggregate indicator i.e. multiplicative and additive. Suppose that from year 0<br />

to T, the aggregate V varies from V 0 to V T . There are two different ways to express such a change: the<br />

multiplicative one and the additive one . Any decomposition can therefore be done<br />

either multiplicatively or additively [Granel et al.]. An aggregate given as a ratio should be decomposed through<br />

a multiplicative approach whereas an absolute change <strong>of</strong> an aggregate, usually given in the original unit <strong>of</strong><br />

measurement, should be run through an additive approach [Ang et al. <strong>20</strong>03]. There are three ways to handle the<br />

decomposition in time domain i.e. fixed base year manner, rolling base year and multilateral indices. Following<br />

are the mathematical representation <strong>of</strong> aggregate indicators used in the energy analysis.<br />

The aggregate energy consumption indicator [Park <strong>19</strong>92, Sun <strong>19</strong>98]<br />

Where, E = Total industrial energy input (energy unit), Q = Total industrial production (monetary unit),<br />

; represents the energy intensity and represents the share <strong>of</strong> industrial production.<br />

The aggregate energy intensity indicator [Gozalez and Suarez <strong>20</strong>03, Choi and Ang <strong>20</strong>02]<br />

The aggregate CHG emissions indicator [Sun and Ang <strong>20</strong>00, Ang and Liu <strong>20</strong>01]<br />

Where C is the total CHG emissions and the CHG emissions are due to fuel type j.<br />

There are various methods available to perform an IDA such as Laspeyres index, Divisia Index, mean-rate-<strong>of</strong>change<br />

index method and many more. The sequence to be followed while performing an IDA is<br />

1. Choose the aggregate indicator you want to decompose<br />

2. Decide whether to go through an additive or multiplicative approach on the basis <strong>of</strong> the problem.<br />

3. Choose the IDA method you want to use, do it wisely on the basis <strong>of</strong> the problem.<br />

4. Decide whether to use a fixed or a rolling base year.<br />

Table 1 Trends in Energy Consumption and Energy Intensity in India<br />

(Energy Statistics <strong>20</strong>12, Ministry <strong>of</strong> Statistics and Program Implementation, GOI)<br />

Year Energy Consumption GDP (Rs. Crores ) Energy Intensity<br />

in Billion kWh<br />

<strong>19</strong>70-71 663.99 517148 0.1284<br />

<strong>19</strong>75-76 840.53 596428 0.1409<br />

<strong>19</strong>80-81 1012.58 6883<strong>20</strong> 0.1456<br />

<strong>19</strong>85-86 1477.50 766135 0.1653<br />

<strong>19</strong>90-91 <strong>19</strong>02.75 852297 0.1594<br />

<strong>19</strong>95-96 2436.77 939540 0.1593<br />

<strong>20</strong>00-01 3154.28 1034931 0.1553<br />

<strong>20</strong>05-06 3909.37 1117734 0.1374<br />

<strong>20</strong>06-07 4226.78 1134023 0.1355<br />

<strong>20</strong>07-08 4508.26 1147677 0.1325<br />

<strong>20</strong>08-09 4845.25 1161495 0.1166<br />

<strong>20</strong>09-10 5462.31 1175480 0.1224<br />

<strong>20</strong>10-11 5693.54 1182105 0.1167<br />

3.2 Trends in energy consumption and energy intensity in India<br />

Energy intensity is the amount <strong>of</strong> energy consumed for generating one unit <strong>of</strong> Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (at<br />

constant prices). Energy Intensity is the most used policy indicator. In a developing country like India, where the<br />

data on consumption <strong>of</strong> non-conventional energy from various sources, particularly in rural areas are not<br />

available, Energy Intensity is generally computed on the basis <strong>of</strong> the basis <strong>of</strong> the consumption <strong>of</strong> conventional<br />

energy [Energy Statistics <strong>20</strong>12, Ministry <strong>of</strong> Statistics and Program Implementation, GOI].<br />

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