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OCTOBER 19-20, 2012 - YMCA University of Science & Technology

OCTOBER 19-20, 2012 - YMCA University of Science & Technology

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Proceedings <strong>of</strong> the National Conference on<br />

Trends and Advances in Mechanical Engineering,<br />

<strong>YMCA</strong> <strong>University</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Science</strong> & <strong>Technology</strong>, Faridabad, Haryana, Oct <strong>19</strong>-<strong>20</strong>, <strong>20</strong>12<br />

An ANN model has been developed to predict diffuse fraction in hourly and daily scale [35] in the plain areas <strong>of</strong><br />

Egypt and compared its performance with two linear regression models. They reported that the result obtained<br />

from ANN model is more suitable for prediction <strong>of</strong> the diffuse fraction in hourly and daily scales than the<br />

regression models. Furthermore, a new methodology based on artificial neural networks (ANN) has been<br />

implemented to evaluate the luminous efficacy <strong>of</strong> diffuse, direct and global solar radiation with clear sky<br />

conditions [36]. With the help <strong>of</strong> standard statistical techniques developing a non-local model considering all<br />

physical processes is nearly impossible. The results show that an ANN model is simpler than the SMARTS<br />

(Simple Model <strong>of</strong> the Atmospheric Radiative Transfer) radiation model and able to accurately highlight the<br />

variations <strong>of</strong> the three components <strong>of</strong> luminous efficacy caused due to solar zenith angle, various atmospheric<br />

absorption and scattering processes. The developed ANN model can be used without using detailed atmospheric<br />

information or empirical models, if radiometric measurements and perceptible water data (or temperature and<br />

relative humidity data) are available.<br />

Recently, model based on artificial neural network with wavelet analysis has been used for solar radiation<br />

estimation. A hybrid model based on this were developed by Cao and Cao [37] and used for forecasting<br />

sequences <strong>of</strong> total daily solar radiation. Cao and Lin [38] proposed a new model based on diagonal recurrent<br />

wavelet neural network (DRWNN) and a special designed training algorithm for forecasting global solar<br />

irradiance. Mellit et al. [39] implemented an adaptive neural-network topology with the wavelet transformation<br />

embedded in the hidden units for forecasting daily total solar radiation. They investigated several structures<br />

which have been beneficial in resolving the missing data problem. A hybrid model based on a neural network<br />

with Markov chain has been proposed for generating total daily solar radiation [40] at long term and it was<br />

implemented for Algeria. The unknown validation data set generated very accurate forecast with an RMSE error<br />

less than 8% between the predicted and measured data. A recurrent neural network with MLP network used for<br />

generating solar radiation synthetic series [41]. In this study, the MLP and other two models has been compared<br />

and found that values <strong>of</strong> the annual irradiance <strong>of</strong> synthetic year estimated by MLP method were nearer to the real<br />

data than other two methods.<br />

For more detailed investigation regarding the application <strong>of</strong> the artificial intelligence techniques for modeling<br />

and forecasting <strong>of</strong> the solar radiation and solar energy modeling techniques the reader can follow some <strong>of</strong> the<br />

good reviews presented in [42, 43].<br />

2. CONCLUSIONS<br />

In the present study, a review <strong>of</strong> AI techniques used in solar energy systems has been carried out. From this<br />

study, following conclusions have been drawn:<br />

1. Use <strong>of</strong> Artificial Intelligence techniques result in achieving substantial improvement in efficiency and<br />

predicting the optimal set <strong>of</strong> design and operating variables for the solar energy systems.<br />

2. From this study, it is clear that after training the ANN model has the potential to predict the satisfactory<br />

results for unknown data.<br />

3. From figure 2, it is clear that ANN predicted more accurate optimal set <strong>of</strong> variables after the model has been<br />

trained and validated well.<br />

4. In solar energy systems, there is a lot <strong>of</strong> scope for using combination <strong>of</strong> AI techniques with other<br />

optimization techniques in order to improve the performance <strong>of</strong> the system.<br />

5. AI techniques may be applied on roughened solar air heater, which is a scope for future work.<br />

Life cycle savings (LCS) and Life cycle assessment (LCA) has been also carried out for solar energy systems<br />

using AI techniques.<br />

3. REFERENCES<br />

[1] C.M. Bishop, Neural networks for pattern recognition, Oxford <strong>University</strong> Press, Oxford, <strong>19</strong>95.<br />

[2] D. Saxena, S.N. Singh, K.S. Verma, Application <strong>of</strong> computational intelligence in emerging power systems,<br />

International Journal <strong>of</strong> Engineering, <strong>Science</strong> and <strong>Technology</strong>, 2 (<strong>20</strong>10) 1-7.<br />

[3] M.H. Ahmadi, M.A. Ahmadi, S.S.G. Aghaj, Prediction <strong>of</strong> Power in Solar Stirling Heat Engine by Evolving<br />

Particle Swarm Optimization and Neural Network, International Journal <strong>of</strong> Computer Applications, 34 (1)<br />

(<strong>20</strong>11) <strong>20</strong>-24.<br />

[4] Y. Li, Y. H, W. Wang, Optimization <strong>of</strong> Solar-powered stirling heat engine with finite-time<br />

thermodynamics, Renewable Energy 36 (<strong>20</strong>11) 421-427.<br />

[5] S.A. Kalogirou, Optimization <strong>of</strong> solar systems using artificial neural-networks and genetic algorithms,<br />

Applied Energy, 77 (<strong>20</strong>04) 383-405.<br />

[6] M. Petrakis, H. Kambezides, S. Lykoudis, A. Adamopoulos, P. Kassomenos, I. Michaelides, S. Kalogirou,<br />

G. Roditis, I. Chrysis, A. Hadjigianni, Generation <strong>of</strong> a typical meteorological year for Nicosia, Cyprus,<br />

Renewable Energy, 13(<strong>19</strong>98) 318-388.<br />

<strong>19</strong>2

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