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OCTOBER 19-20, 2012 - YMCA University of Science & Technology

OCTOBER 19-20, 2012 - YMCA University of Science & Technology

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Proceedings <strong>of</strong> the National Conference on<br />

Trends and Advances in Mechanical Engineering,<br />

<strong>YMCA</strong> <strong>University</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Science</strong> & <strong>Technology</strong>, Faridabad, Haryana, Oct <strong>19</strong>-<strong>20</strong>, <strong>20</strong>12<br />

DECOMPOSITION OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION IN INDIA: A DISCUSSION IN<br />

THE CONTEXT OF INDEX DECOMPOSITION ANALYSIS (IDA)<br />

Ponnala Vimal Mosahari 1* , D. Ganeshwar Rao 2 , Rajeev Satsangi 3<br />

1,3<br />

Department <strong>of</strong> Mechanical Engineering, Technical College, Dayalbagh Educational Institute, Dayalbagh, Agra<br />

2<br />

Department <strong>of</strong> Mechanical Engineering, Faculty <strong>of</strong> Engineering, Dayalbagh Educational Institute, Dayalbagh,<br />

Agra<br />

1*<br />

pvimalmosahari@gmail.com<br />

Abstract<br />

India is a developing country with enormous growth in the Industrial sector. A major concern however lies in the<br />

limited energy resources which are the driving force <strong>of</strong> any industry or country as a whole. Hence, it becomes<br />

important to focus on the energy consumption pattern <strong>of</strong> the country and to identify where optimization is<br />

needed. Energy consumption is also related to the environment i.e. CHG emissions and therefore CHG<br />

monitoring is also important to check the emissions. Index Decomposition Analysis (IDA) is an analytical tool<br />

based on the Index Number Theory used in Economics and Statistics. It is at present a much sought after<br />

research area to analyse the energy consumption pattern or to decompose energy indicators. IDA is widely used<br />

to disentangle and separate changes in energy consumption, energy intensity and CHG emissions in energy and<br />

environmental field. In the present work an attempt has been made to review the energy consumption in India<br />

and discuss IDA.<br />

Keywords: IDA, CHG<br />

1. Introduction<br />

India is not a resource rich country in terms <strong>of</strong> energy; it relies mostly on oil imports from Middle East. India is a<br />

developing country which needs to use its capital wisely, so it becomes necessary to monitor the energy<br />

consumption pattern and try to optimise it economically. The industrial sector in India consumes about 37% <strong>of</strong><br />

the energy (<strong>20</strong>04-05) [Sahu & Narayanan] and is an energy intensive sector. This work is concerned with the<br />

study and discussion on the use <strong>of</strong> Index Decomposition Analysis (IDA) to compute the energy consumption. An<br />

attempt has been made to study IDA, its attributes, its methods and how it can be used to calculate energy<br />

consumption. A simple discussion on energy consumption and energy intensity in India follows after the<br />

description <strong>of</strong> IDA that shows why aggregate indicators are important.<br />

Indian Energy Scenario: India is an oil importing country, depending on the Gulf countries for most <strong>of</strong> its energy<br />

needs. India faced the oil shock <strong>of</strong> rising prices, and then it faced with rising inflation and a balance <strong>of</strong> payment<br />

crisis in mid <strong>19</strong>91. The Government <strong>of</strong> India introduced comprehensive policy reform package comprising<br />

currency devaluation, deregulation, de-licensing, and privatization <strong>of</strong> the public sector [Sahu & Narayanan]. The<br />

rising oil prices has always been a serious concern for India since long due to its limited energy resources.<br />

Commercial sources <strong>of</strong> Energy (sources that cost i.e. Coal, Petroleum and Electricity) are only 50% <strong>of</strong> total<br />

energy consumption in India. It means non-commercial sources like wood, agricultural waste & animal dung<br />

constitute half <strong>of</strong> the total energy consumption in India. More than 60% <strong>of</strong> Indian households depend on<br />

traditional sources <strong>of</strong> Energy for cooking & heating needs. At the present rate <strong>of</strong> production &<br />

consumption, Coal reserves in India would last for about 130 years, Oil for only about 30 years. The commercial<br />

energy consumption in India is also diversified; Coal constitutes 29%, Oil & Gas 54% & Electricity 17%. At<br />

present only 15% <strong>of</strong> total hydro-power potential has been used, more Hydro Power Projects are in construction<br />

although the estimated annual energy potential from hydro-electric sources is around 90000 MW. Out <strong>of</strong> the total<br />

electricity production, 65.8% comes from Thermal power plants (which basically rely on<br />

Coal), 26.3% from hydro electricity & only 3.1% from nuclear power. Non-conventional, renewable energy<br />

sources like solar, wind energy constitute nearly 4.9%. (Source: Ministry <strong>of</strong> Power). The share <strong>of</strong> Public<br />

sector producing electricity is 558 billion kWh while private sector produces 58 billion kWh. Uranium reserves<br />

in country amounting to 70,000 tonnes (equivalent to 1<strong>20</strong> billion tonnes <strong>of</strong> coal) and Thorium reserves<br />

amounting to 3,60,000 tonnes (equivalent to 600 billion tonnes <strong>of</strong> coal) is about 5 times the coal reserves in<br />

country. 65% <strong>of</strong> total rural energy consumption is met from fuel woods (180 million tonnes for households + 43<br />

million tonnes for cottage industry, hotels etc). From <strong>19</strong>51 to <strong>20</strong>04, the coal production has increased 12<br />

times, crude oil 110 times & electricity 65 times. In <strong>19</strong>73, price for petroleum crude oil in global market was<br />

only $2 per barrel ($2.09 exactly). Only 0.3% <strong>of</strong> world’s known oil reserves are in India. Transport sector<br />

accounts for 56% <strong>of</strong> total oil consumption in India. Demand for coal rises @ 4 to 5% per year, for petroleum<br />

products 6 to 7% per year & for electricity 9 to 10% per year. India is second largest exploiter <strong>of</strong> Wind Energy –<br />

1000 MW (70% by private sector). There are 33 lakh bio-gas plants, 2 lakh solar cookers & 10000 street lighting<br />

22

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