Infrastructure Delivery Plan (Feb 2013) - Runnymede Borough Council

the Local Plan (LP01 LP02 and LP08). Strategic policy SP09 is also considered
relevant in this case. This policy encourages people to use sustainable modes of
transport wherever possible to access facilities.
5.58 Runnymede Borough Council has provided SCC with their expected housing
projections over the plan period, in particular providing SCC officers with the minimum
(2415) and maximum estimations (4512). As noted in previous chapters, SCC has
based their forecasts on a mid-point figure in this range and has assumed that the
number of new dwellings where pupils would be yielded between 2013 to 2025 would
be in the region of 3284 (or 3185 after 1 bedroom properties are excluded from the
calculations (see the ‘Pre-school Childcare (Early Years Provision) and Children’s
Centres’ chapter for more information on this point).
5.59 Estimations of pupil numbers arising from these new dwellings is based on 0.18 pupils
per dwelling as published in the Surrey Education Formula. On this basis, between
2013 and 2025, it is estimated that 573 secondary pupils will be generated. This
equates to 19 additional classrooms (based on a classroom size of 30).
Future provision
5.60 Secondary demand follows primary demand. SCC estimates of the future need for
secondary places is based on taking the historic transfer ratio from Year 6 to Year 7 in
the Borough, and applying this to their estimated numbers for future Year 6 cohorts.
The table below estimates (as at November 2011) the numbers of pupils that will
require a secondary school place in Runnymede from 2012 – 2021. This is compared
to the total number of available places in secondary schools in Runnymede in the
future (the PAN). The ‘spare’ places refer to the projected demand compared to the
total number of available places.
Table 6-number of pupils that will require a secondary school place in Runnymede (2012-2021)
Year
PAN
Pupils in
Year 7
Spare Year 7
places
2012/2013 915 916 -1
2013/2014 915 851 64
2014/2015 915 914 1
2015/2016 915 914 1
2016/2017 915 889 26
2017/2018 915 968 -53
2018/2019 915 1000 -85
2019/2020 915 1030 -115
2020/2021 915 1057 -142
2021/2022 915 1065 -150
5.61 By the end of 2021, it is anticipated that there will be a need for about 150 extra places
at the intake year (year 7). This is equivalent to 5 additional forms of entry. There is
projected to be a shortage of secondary school places in the Borough by 2017/2018. A
form of entry is equivalent to 30 pupils or 1 ‘class’. Adding a single form of entry
equates to 5 extra classrooms in the secondary setting as pupils move through the
school. Secondary schools provide for much larger catchment areas than primary
schools and officers plan secondary provision across Borough boundaries. There are
interrelationships between the Boroughs of Runnymede, Woking, Spelthorne and
Surrey Heath.
Page | 41
Runnymede IDP DRAFT – February 2013