Infrastructure Delivery Plan (Feb 2013) - Runnymede Borough Council

Funding
ID
IDPF028
Risk Assessment
Description
Rail improvements at Longcross
Station to support the development
at the former DERA site
Estimated
Cost
unknown
Key
Provider(s)
South West
Trains,
Developer
6.74 The main risk to the capacity [IDPR010] of this infrastructure is considered to be
congestion caused by a surge in users over the plan period (without necessary
measures in place to deal with increased users being put in place). This would lead to
severe overcrowding, particularly on the already congested commuter trains. This could
impact on the economy if commuters are discouraged from accessing trains to bring
them into, or take them out of the Borough. The probability of this risk being realised is
considered to be high. This is due, in part, to the considerable time lag in bringing
measures to increase capacity forward. The severity is also considered to be high as
this scenario would have a knock on effect, and cumulative impact on both the SRN
and non-SNR. This is because the implication of IDPR010 is people resorting to using
their cars to travel, increasing congestion on the roads within the Borough. It is
considered however that improvements to rail services and enhancements to rail
facilities (such as the proposals at London Waterloo) would reduce the likelihood of
such an event occurring.
Conclusion
Risk ID Description Probability Severity
IDPR010
Congestion caused by a surge in
demand with no mitigation in place
6.75 Development proposals over the plan period are likely to place some additional
pressure on the rail infrastructure within the Borough. An assessment of the cumulative
effects of proposed development in Surrey over the coming years on the rail network is
currently being undertaken by SCC. This will identify where enhancements to services
and facilities are required. Preparing for an increase in demand for rail services is
ultimately however considered to fall outside the remit of the Council.
Bus Network
Existing provision
6.76 In terms of transport modal choice, it is evident from the data reported elsewhere in the
IDP that car use is the preferred mode within the Borough (see: Table 7 and Figure 13).
According to the National Travel Survey 2010, between 1995/97 and 2010 there was a
14% drop in number of trips per person per year by bus outside London. This figure
corresponds with a general rise in traffic over a similar period 26 .
6.77 There are a number of commercial bus service providers operating services which run
within or through the Borough of Runnymede. People aged 60 or over and the disabled
are eligible for free bus passes for off-peak travel in Runnymede (as they are in Surrey
as a whole). There are 319 bus stops in the Borough, although the greatest
concentrations of bus stops are located in the Borough’s Urban Areas. Specifically, 13
commercial bus services run within or through the Borough, 8 of which are defined as
frequent (defined by Surrey Council as services which operate at least once an hour, 5
days a week, all year round).
6.78 Services operate to most towns and villages within the Borough although service
provision varies for different areas. Bus timetable information for different parts of the
High
High
26
See DfT Road Transport Forecasts 2011
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Runnymede IDP DRAFT – February 2013