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Evaluating Alternative Operations Strategies to Improve Travel Time ...

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SHRP 2 L11: Final Report<br />

development in the optimistic scenario, this treatment was identified as a key application <strong>to</strong><br />

reduce travel-time variability in the future. The high cost of VII along with a reduction in<br />

VMT for the pessimistic scenario and moderate technological investments in the mediocre<br />

scenario led <strong>to</strong> dropping VII as a priority treatment.<br />

The same rationale was applied <strong>to</strong> the other treatments shown in Table 7.2. Note that this list<br />

provides the foundation of ITS strategies <strong>to</strong> the implementation roadmap from the present <strong>to</strong> the<br />

future scenarios described next in this chapter. Innovative technologies are likely <strong>to</strong> cause<br />

significant changes in travel-time reliability in the future. The potential impacts of innovative<br />

technologies are discussed at the end of this chapter as well.<br />

IMPLEMENTATION ROADMAP<br />

This roadmap covers the range of challenges and opportunities that may result from the future<br />

scenarios and discusses the needed approach <strong>to</strong> address travel-time reliability needs over the next<br />

20 years. Rather than focusing on one alternative future, this section will provide an overview of<br />

what is needed <strong>to</strong> improve travel-time reliability by 2030. Afterwards a discussion is presented on<br />

institutional challenges, funding constraints, and technological opportunities that will need <strong>to</strong> be<br />

responded <strong>to</strong> in order <strong>to</strong> overcome congestion and travel-time reliability threats generated in all<br />

three alternative future scenarios.<br />

<strong>Improve</strong>d <strong>Travel</strong>-<strong>Time</strong> Reliability: What’s Needed?<br />

The most significant benefits in improving travel-time reliability would be attained when<br />

technological changes, operational solutions, and organizational actions are used in an integrated<br />

fashion <strong>to</strong> improve the balance between travel demand and capacity. A variety of technological<br />

changes, operational solutions, and organizational actions currently exist, or would become<br />

available in the next 20 years. These changes, solutions, and actions would allow more effective<br />

management of transportation demand, increases in person and freight moving capacity, and faster<br />

recovery of the capacity lost <strong>to</strong> various types of disruptions. A wide range of activities would be<br />

employed by groups ranging from individual travelers, carriers, and shippers, <strong>to</strong> highway agencies,<br />

local governments, and private companies that supply services that support roadway operations.<br />

To do this would require major institutional and functional changes in how our roadways (and the<br />

transportation system as a whole) are currently funded and operated. That is, technical<br />

improvements, while highly beneficial in specific instances, would have only a modest benefit <strong>to</strong><br />

travel-time reliability unless more significant structural changes occur in balancing travel demand<br />

and transportation supply (capacity) as shown in Figure 7.2.<br />

A CONCEPT OF OPERATIONS Page 110

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