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Culture and Ecology of Chaco Canyon and the San Juan Basin

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Environment <strong>and</strong> Natural Resources 33LaPlsta Mta."'" "'~.1AS1N",CCPCfUION COftfOUas<strong>Juan</strong>ChuaksMta.Mta.Nt40Iun20 mil ..Zuni Mta.Mt. TaylorFigure 2.4. Precipitation contours for <strong>the</strong> <strong>San</strong> <strong>Juan</strong> <strong>Basin</strong>. (Taken from Windes 1993:Figure 2.3.(1983:Plate IV) mapped <strong>the</strong> precipitation contours for<strong>the</strong> <strong>San</strong> <strong>Juan</strong> <strong>Basin</strong>; <strong>the</strong>se are presented here as Figure2.4.Data on temperature <strong>and</strong> precipitation in <strong>the</strong> <strong>San</strong><strong>Juan</strong> <strong>Basin</strong> are generally limited to <strong>the</strong> past century.During this recent time, temperatures rose until <strong>the</strong>late 1960s <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>n declined (Gillespie 1985). Therewas a similar trend in increased rainfall during July<strong>and</strong> August, but <strong>the</strong> correlations between <strong>the</strong>se twotrends are weak. Both rising trends occurred whenglobal temperatures were cooling <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>re weregenerally weak westerly circulation patterns. Thesedata do not fit <strong>the</strong> model presented by Bryson <strong>and</strong>Baerries (1968), who suggested reduced July rainfallwhen westerlies are slightly exp<strong>and</strong>ed. Whenevaluated against <strong>the</strong> models <strong>of</strong> Euler et al. (1979),<strong>and</strong> Rose et al. (1982), who proposed ei<strong>the</strong>r summerorwinter-dominant precipitation, <strong>the</strong> data show nonegative correlation over <strong>the</strong> past 40 years betweenamounts <strong>of</strong> summer <strong>and</strong> winter precipitation, both <strong>of</strong>which peaked in <strong>the</strong> 1960s (Gillespie 1985).

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