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130925-studie-wildlife-comeback-in-europe

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96 year old olive<br />

farmer with his<br />

donkey at Castelo<br />

Rodrigo, Portugal.<br />

Neither his children<br />

nor grandchildren are<br />

tak<strong>in</strong>g over the farm<br />

from him.<br />

medieval times [20] , while Roe deer (Capreolus<br />

capreolus) populations were at their lowest po<strong>in</strong>t<br />

<strong>in</strong> the early 20 th century [21] .<br />

Despite these documented historic and current<br />

decl<strong>in</strong>es, there is evidence of recent population<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases and range expansion for a number of<br />

European species (see species accounts <strong>in</strong> section<br />

3 and 4 of this report). This apparent trend across<br />

Europe provides us with an opportunity to identify<br />

species traits, environmental factors and conservation<br />

<strong>in</strong>terventions which have contributed to<br />

population <strong>in</strong>creases or range expansions, and<br />

attempt to apply the same techniques to other<br />

species which are likely to respond <strong>in</strong> a similar<br />

manner. Furthermore, it may be possible to understand<br />

the extent to which underly<strong>in</strong>g drivers, such<br />

as human demographics and policy, contribute to<br />

<strong>wildlife</strong> <strong>comeback</strong>. For example, s<strong>in</strong>ce the early<br />

1960s, there has been a 28% decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> the rural<br />

population <strong>in</strong> Europe, a trend that is expected to<br />

cont<strong>in</strong>ue and accelerate <strong>in</strong>to the future and which<br />

is particularly pronounced <strong>in</strong> Eastern Europe (41%<br />

decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> rural population s<strong>in</strong>ce 1961 [13] ). In Eastern<br />

and Central European countries, drivers such<br />

as the European Union’s Common Agricultural<br />

Policy (CAP) and its effect on agricultural <strong>in</strong>tensification<br />

will most likely lead to more <strong>in</strong>tensive use<br />

of productive areas and the abandonment of less<br />

productive and economically less viable areas [22] .<br />

Already we see an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> urban populations,<br />

which is projected to cont<strong>in</strong>ue across Europe by<br />

16% between 2002 and 2045 [13] . Consequently,<br />

although <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g urbanisation has led to a larger<br />

disconnect between people and the natural world<br />

globally [23] , it has also allowed <strong>wildlife</strong> <strong>comeback</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong> areas of rural abandonment, particularly where<br />

coupled with legal protection and active re<strong>in</strong>troduction<br />

of species.<br />

This report focuses on those species for which<br />

we see positive changes <strong>in</strong> Europe. For many<br />

of these, Europe now hosts larger populations<br />

than for centuries. In this report, we focus on the<br />

follow<strong>in</strong>g questions:<br />

• Which European species are show<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>comeback</strong>?<br />

• By how much have populations <strong>in</strong>creased and<br />

ranges expanded s<strong>in</strong>ce the mid-20 th century?<br />

• How does <strong>wildlife</strong> <strong>comeback</strong> relate to historical<br />

distributions and population sizes?<br />

10

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