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Scale Status Population trend Justification Threats<br />

Global<br />

[1]<br />

Least Concern Unknown Widespread<br />

Large population<br />

Largest population stable (Alps)<br />

Development<br />

Agriculture<br />

Exploitation<br />

Human disturbance<br />

Invasive species/genes<br />

Problematic native species<br />

Europe<br />

[12]<br />

Least Concern Unknown Widespread<br />

Large population<br />

Human disturbance<br />

Invasive species<br />

Largest population stable (Alps)<br />

Europe – tatrica:<br />

tatrica:<br />

tatrica:<br />

tatrica:<br />

regional<br />

Critically Decreas<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Very small population<br />

Interbreed<strong>in</strong>g<br />

populations<br />

Endangered<br />

[1]<br />

cartusiana:<br />

Projected cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g decl<strong>in</strong>e<br />

cartusiana:<br />

Vulnerable<br />

Stable<br />

Interbreed<strong>in</strong>g<br />

cartusiana:<br />

Conf<strong>in</strong>ement to s<strong>in</strong>gle location<br />

Table 2.<br />

Summary of Global<br />

and European Red<br />

List assessments and<br />

threats listed for the<br />

Northern chamois.<br />

Table 3.<br />

Latest population<br />

estimates for the<br />

Northern chamois<br />

globally, <strong>in</strong> Europe<br />

and for European<br />

populations.<br />

The Balkan chamois (R. r. balcanica) is stable <strong>in</strong><br />

Bosnia-Herzegov<strong>in</strong>a, Croatia, Macedonia, Slovenia<br />

and Serbia, vulnerable <strong>in</strong> Albania, rare <strong>in</strong> Bulgaria<br />

and endangered <strong>in</strong> Greece [17] . Here, it is listed <strong>in</strong><br />

the Red Data Book of Threatened Vertebrates [18]<br />

and shoot<strong>in</strong>g has been banned s<strong>in</strong>ce 1969 [17] .<br />

Poach<strong>in</strong>g, which occurs both <strong>in</strong>side and outside<br />

protected areas, is considered the biggest threat<br />

but adventure tourism may be a grow<strong>in</strong>g problem<br />

<strong>in</strong> the future [17] .<br />

Abundance and distribution: changes<br />

As with many of the historical and 1950s/60s maps<br />

collected for this report, the 1955 distribution for<br />

the Northern chamois shown <strong>in</strong> Figure 1a is much<br />

coarser <strong>in</strong> resolution than the present day map [20] ,<br />

mak<strong>in</strong>g a comparison difficult. Although the best<br />

available, the 1955 distribution is mislead<strong>in</strong>g, as<br />

much of it falls mostly or entirely outside suitable<br />

Estimate Year assessed Reference<br />

Global Unknown -<br />

-<br />

Europe (based on below) 485,580 2004/5<br />

[19]<br />

% of global population -<br />

Austria 150,000 2004/5<br />

[19]<br />

Czech Republic 400 2004/5<br />

[19]<br />

Croatia 400 2004/5<br />

[19]<br />

France 62,500 2004/5<br />

[19]<br />

Germany 20,000 2004/5<br />

[19]<br />

Greece 800 2004/5<br />

[19]<br />

Italy 136,700 2004/5<br />

[19]<br />

Poland 80 2004/5<br />

[19]<br />

Romania 6,800 2004/5<br />

[19]<br />

Serbia 600 2004/5<br />

[19]<br />

Slovakia 600 2004/5<br />

[19]<br />

Switzerland 90,000 2004/5<br />

[19]<br />

Slovenia 15,600 1995<br />

[19]<br />

chamois habitat, and populations which were<br />

isolated at the time appear to be connected, giv<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the false impression of a large area of occupancy [20] .<br />

As such, the apparent reduction <strong>in</strong> range of over<br />

40% between 1955 and 2008 must not be taken at<br />

face value and <strong>in</strong>stead <strong>in</strong>terpreted with extreme<br />

caution, as it is likely an artefact of different<br />

map resolutions <strong>in</strong> time as opposed to a genu<strong>in</strong>e<br />

decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> range size [20] . The Northern chamois<br />

was, however, able to persist <strong>in</strong> most of the larger<br />

mounta<strong>in</strong> ranges, e.g. the central Alps, central<br />

D<strong>in</strong>aric, Carpathians and Sudetes, and southern<br />

Russia, and was even able to expand <strong>in</strong>to the Massif<br />

Central, Jura, Black Forest, parts of the Sudetes and<br />

very small populations <strong>in</strong> and around the D<strong>in</strong>aric<br />

mounta<strong>in</strong>s and southern Bulgaria (Figures 1a and<br />

b).<br />

In terms of abundance, Northern chamois<br />

populations <strong>in</strong> Europe have <strong>in</strong>creased by around<br />

90% over the period from 1960 and 2005, although<br />

this trend is not consistently positive <strong>in</strong> each<br />

decade (Figure 2). The trend is based on 10 populations<br />

from across Europe, represent<strong>in</strong>g a m<strong>in</strong>imum<br />

of 98,400 <strong>in</strong>dividuals or 20% of the total European<br />

population of 2004/5 and the data were from 44%<br />

of the countries of occurrence. Trend <strong>in</strong>formation<br />

was miss<strong>in</strong>g from a number of locations with<strong>in</strong><br />

the species’ current range, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the Massif<br />

Central <strong>in</strong> France, Germany, the Czech Republic, all<br />

of former Yugoslavia and Greece.<br />

Drivers of recovery<br />

Our analysis revealed no significant factors for<br />

either positive or negative abundance change.<br />

The decrease observed <strong>in</strong> the 1990s (Figure 2)<br />

can be attributed to populations from the Tatra<br />

52

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