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130925-studie-wildlife-comeback-in-europe

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No. of species<br />

1<br />

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6<br />

> 6<br />

No. of species<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

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7<br />

A<br />

C<br />

No. of species<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

5<br />

6<br />

> 6<br />

No. of species<br />

1<br />

2<br />

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5<br />

6<br />

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B<br />

D<br />

Figure 7.<br />

Mammalian species<br />

richness patterns for<br />

the period (a) 1950s-<br />

1960s, and (b) present<br />

day. Note that this<br />

dataset comprises<br />

only the 18 mammal<br />

species which were<br />

the focal species<br />

of the study (see<br />

species accounts).<br />

Spatial occurrence<br />

of distribution<br />

ga<strong>in</strong>s and losses,<br />

between 1950s/60s<br />

and present day,<br />

expressed as number<br />

of species ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

(c) or los<strong>in</strong>g (d)<br />

distribution area.<br />

shows changes <strong>in</strong> the overall pattern of the spatial<br />

distribution of our selected species over these time<br />

periods and can help to p<strong>in</strong>po<strong>in</strong>t spatial patterns of<br />

range expansion and contraction (Figures 7, 8 and 9).<br />

This analysis revealed that the overall pattern<br />

of distribution of selected mammal species<br />

broadened with<strong>in</strong> the timeframe, with the number<br />

of species present <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g recently <strong>in</strong> central,<br />

eastern and northern Europe <strong>in</strong> particular. The<br />

broad picture of distribution change between<br />

past and present distributions shows that distribution<br />

expansions <strong>in</strong> our study species occurred<br />

widely across Europe (Figure 7c), while distribution<br />

contractions were ma<strong>in</strong>ly reported from<br />

southeastern Europe and the Pyrenean region<br />

(Figure 7d). Much of the pattern of loss observed<br />

<strong>in</strong> southeastern Europe was concurrent with the<br />

pattern of distribution losses <strong>in</strong> large carnivores<br />

(Figure 8b). Distribution ga<strong>in</strong>s amongst carnivores<br />

were most pronounced <strong>in</strong> Fennoscandia<br />

(particularly F<strong>in</strong>land and Sweden, where four of<br />

the six terrestrial carnivore species <strong>in</strong> the study<br />

occur) and Croatia/Slovenia (Figure 8a). Overall,<br />

Europe has seen a north and westward expansion<br />

of carnivore distributions from southern and<br />

eastern populations, many of which are provid<strong>in</strong>g<br />

us with the recent range expansions highlighted<br />

<strong>in</strong> the species accounts. Distribution ga<strong>in</strong>s for<br />

hoofed mammals were more spread out across<br />

the cont<strong>in</strong>ent (Figure 8c), a trend driven by distribution<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> all four species of deer. On<br />

the other hand, distribution losses were ma<strong>in</strong>ly<br />

conf<strong>in</strong>ed to small pockets across the Alps and<br />

central Italy, which were driven by overall distri-<br />

270

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